tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19402125.post4151504336802303069..comments2024-02-07T16:22:39.625-05:00Comments on Jeff Jedras: Confusing Canadians about coalitions to score political pointsUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19402125.post-43627027430487936222015-07-31T19:43:01.095-04:002015-07-31T19:43:01.095-04:00I think there's a separate, longer post on tha...I think there's a separate, longer post on that topic in my future. But in brief, the math isn't as neat as that. You can't add the Liberal vote to the NDP vote as 1+1=2. The Liberal vote would in fact splinter. A chunk, yes, would go NDP. And a chunk would go Conservative. If the NDP can continue to gain credibility on the economy, and Notley does well in Alberta, more of it would go NDP than would have a year ago. But enough would still go CPC to pad their majority, particularly under FPTP in enough ridings to matter. And then there's the question of how much of a shift to the centre in order to appear moderate for the sake of power is the NDP's left flank willing to accept. Do they compromise, or do they feel principle is at stake and break off? I don't know. <br /><br />But like I said, the math isn't simple. I believe the Cons have crunched the numbers, and like how it plays out for them.Jeffhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14971310821484459106noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19402125.post-58444114288622050412015-07-31T13:00:30.516-04:002015-07-31T13:00:30.516-04:00Would you be willing to expand on this, please: &q...Would you be willing to expand on this, please: "the Conservatives certainly believe the math of a two-party state favours them. And I tend to agree."<br /><br />On the surface, the math of a two-party state suggests it would work <em>against</em> the Conservatives, since they consistently get less than half the vote and only win governments by splitting the opposition. If the opposition is united into a single party, that suggests the Conservatives would lose out on that advantage.<br /><br />What am I missing?<br /><br />(Note: I'm not trying to suggest that there should be a two-party state. That would be horrible. I'm just wondering how such a situation would benefit the Cons.)Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09412720800766357536noreply@blogger.com