tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19402125.post8177902078351522703..comments2024-02-07T16:22:39.625-05:00Comments on Jeff Jedras: Stephen Harper is not a leaderUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger11125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19402125.post-90093948959881252222007-07-20T20:14:00.000-04:002007-07-20T20:14:00.000-04:00I was bored Jason. :) And didn't Gregg leave Strat...I was bored Jason. :) And didn't Gregg leave Strategic Counsel to start his own firm? Thought I read that awhile back.<BR/><BR/>Anyway, agreed on the issues, although I'd say even though Harper didn't run on all Gomery all the time (and the Libs ran on nothing that I could discern) a lot of people voted on Gomery. So the fact it's gone levels the playing field considerably once again. <BR/><BR/>Anyway, I think the Liberals do have some other issues. They just need to do a better job of getting them out there. And the key may well me lots of targeted issues: their recent push on arts funding is one example.Jeffhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14971310821484459106noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19402125.post-63430187125853693442007-07-20T13:10:00.000-04:002007-07-20T13:10:00.000-04:00Geeze, that's a lot of analysis from a "useless" p...Geeze, that's a lot of analysis from a "<A HREF="http://bcinto.blogspot.com/2006/04/why-poll-reading-should-be-accompanied.html" REL="nofollow">useless</A>" polling firm's poll, no? (And yeah, I think Gregg's still with 'em now, and Donolo was with 'em last year, too!) <BR/><BR/>But more seriously, what caught my eye more than the horse-race numbers were the "Issues" that you ID later in your post. What was tops a while ago - Gomery, and presumably, the issues of corruption that went with it - is now trading at 1%.<BR/><BR/>Yes, the current "Issue environment" gives the Libs a reason to use the, um, environtment issue. But it also shows that what matters as the "big deal" to Canadians can turn around quickly. <BR/><BR/>Just as Harper wasn't dumb enough to run an "All Gomery, All the Time" campaign last time - despite Lib predictions to the contrary - Dion had better find some other issues. You allude to some in your post, but I'm not sure if I see income trusts and Afghanistan as winners just yet. Damned if I know what the ultimate winners will be mind you, but given the LPC's history on both fronts, I'm not sure they're good enough wedges.Jason Hickmanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17648786726787793783noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19402125.post-65674932817564317292007-07-20T11:21:00.000-04:002007-07-20T11:21:00.000-04:00BCer:Thanks Jeff, I suspected as much. So it seem...BCer:<BR/><BR/>Thanks Jeff, I suspected as much. So it seems the G&M thinks we are not worth mentioning in such breakdowns, so nice to see how 4 Provinces out of ten are so not worth considering. And people wonder why I tend to get a little snarky whenever I see my region ignored/stereotyped outrageous/slammed as full of welfare bums and greedy SOBs because we think we should have the same considerations to develop our oil/gas sector as Alberta had (yet somehow that is trying to eat your cake and have it hypocrisy and greed according to many Albertans along with many others). *sigh*Scotianhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06284856315992405261noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19402125.post-77254771341005474302007-07-20T10:53:00.000-04:002007-07-20T10:53:00.000-04:00Wasn't intentional on my part Scotian. For some re...Wasn't intentional on my part Scotian. For some reason, the Globe didn't include the Atlantic numbers in their coverage, so I don't know what they are. I'd be interested to see them, esp. given all that's happening around the Atlantic Accord and what not.Jeffhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14971310821484459106noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19402125.post-57896364242443742552007-07-20T10:47:00.000-04:002007-07-20T10:47:00.000-04:00I do have one question for you BCer, why is it you...I do have one question for you BCer, why is it you did a breakdown analysis of all major regions except the Atlantic region? I realize we are only roughly 10% of the total seats in Parliament but that should have counted for something.Scotianhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06284856315992405261noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19402125.post-72347880548607869962007-07-20T09:15:00.000-04:002007-07-20T09:15:00.000-04:00Right you are Joseph, thanks, my eyes must have sk...Right you are Joseph, thanks, my eyes must have skipped a line. Corrected in the post. Still surprised the Cons don't have a bigger lead in the middle age group though.<BR/><BR/>Burl, since I've been fairly critical of the Liberal effort for months now I thought I'd take a more constructive approach here, and I really do see some reason for optimism. I also think the study shows we haven't been doing as bad as has been though, the Quebec/francophone stuff is particularly positive for Dion in particular.Jeffhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14971310821484459106noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19402125.post-41012850488494666942007-07-20T01:24:00.000-04:002007-07-20T01:24:00.000-04:00Good analysis. While perhaps you could be a little...Good analysis. While perhaps you could be a little more critical on the Liberal effort, you have ground down some important ideas... Income trust and general financial incompetence. We need people like Goodale, McCallum, Blair Wilson and Savage (along with Dion) hammering them over these issues, painting this group as inept -- because they are. Flag IT, but also put a spike in the talk about their attempt to halt Canadian corp/s ability to invest outside Canada, their failure on the R&D front, and put a toe tag on Flahafty's term as Ontario's bungling finance minister.<BR/>Apparently the CONs are going to try and 'divide and conquer', using the issue of anti-terrorism powers and (as usual) crime and punishment. We are visually weak on these issues, but certainly the first we should be labelling Harpor for past acts -- if he had his way, Maher Arar would have been bound and gagged and handed over to any police state that wanted him. Hit Harpor on his reluctance to stand up and defend Canadians' rights, and we have to never let people forget that he was Wrong On Iraq.<BR/>Keep up the good analysis...burlivespipehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18048415779214466831noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19402125.post-41634381191888236022007-07-19T23:52:00.000-04:002007-07-19T23:52:00.000-04:00I think you were a row off on some of your sub-gro...I think you were a row off on some of your sub-groups.<BR/><BR/>For 18-34, it's Liberal 36 Con 21<BR/>For 35-54, it's Con 33 Liberal 29<BR/><BR/>You did have the right number for 55+ <BR/>Con 38 Liberal 30Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19402125.post-61429084891949930692007-07-19T20:22:00.000-04:002007-07-19T20:22:00.000-04:00I am an Income Trust investor who was Lied to and ...I am an Income Trust investor who was Lied to and Betrayed by Stephen Harper. If he thinks people will get over such dramatic losses of their savings he should think again. Harper promised to protect seniors investments in Income Trusts and an honorable man with any integrity would keep his word. Harper should listen to Ralph Klein on that point. Harper promised accountability and to restore faith in politicians. His blacked out pages of Income Trust evidence and his muzzling of our elected representatives is a far cry from what he promised. Harper is a self serving Liar and will do and say anything to win a majority government. God help us if he gets it.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19402125.post-70072927312841511552007-07-19T20:06:00.000-04:002007-07-19T20:06:00.000-04:00It's not only investors. My broker, a long-time, d...It's not only investors. My broker, a long-time, died-in-the-wool Conservative, has switched camps over this issue as have (according to him) many of his co-workers in the investment community - especially those who were seliing income trusts based, to a large extent, on Hapeer's promises. Nothing like betrayal to get the blood boiling.Canajunhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17529505799866207528noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19402125.post-56290556911457018172007-07-19T19:37:00.000-04:002007-07-19T19:37:00.000-04:00I am an annoyed Income trust investor who like man...I am an annoyed Income trust investor who like many have decided to support the Liberals as a result of the conservatives flip flop.<BR/> There are over 2 million individual investors that hold/held income trusts, I have yet to meet one who will vote conservative in the next election (I'm sure there is at least one somewhere) on the other hand I know of dozens who have switched parties as a result. <BR/> Don't under estimate this issue, angry investors who have lost money do not forgive and forget.<BR/> As you look into this subject you can see what a colossal blunder it is not only are there huge investor loses but as recent cases such as Bell show there will be a massive loss in future tax revenue which will effect each and every Canadian in the pocket book. <BR/> Don't forget the blacked out documents that was supposed to explain the "New accountable Governments" decision. So far we have nothing but rhetoric to explain the governments position. <BR/> The issue doesn't just effect angry income trust investors but each and every Canadian.Tootrustinghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04152034541795560988noreply@blogger.com