tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19402125.post3227015676642843104..comments2024-02-07T16:22:39.625-05:00Comments on Jeff Jedras: Poll smokingUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19402125.post-48495898330553544252007-05-14T13:49:00.000-04:002007-05-14T13:49:00.000-04:00Whooee! I think a lotta gung-ho party members don'...Whooee! I think a lotta gung-ho party members don't realize that fewer than 10% of Canajuns are card-carryin' party members. That's fer all the parties, combined. Lotsa voters may usually vote one way or another but a large majority to do feel enough party loyalty to take out a party membership.<BR/><BR/>Even some card-carriers can be persuaded to vote for another party. We got a good Lib candidate runnin' in my riding -- Dr. Eric Hoskins. I carry a GPC card but if it looks like Hoskins needs my vote to beat Diane Finley, I'll vote strategically.<BR/><BR/>All this electioneerin' an' campaignin' an' 'pinion pollin' when there ain't even an election called is gettin' in the way of action. If there ain't any more action and we get bombarded with more campaign ads before the next election, it ain't gonna play well fer the Cons.<BR/><BR/>They say the Grits is all talk an' no action but the Cons're talkin' a blue streak an' gettin' squat done. That'll haunt 'em at the ballot box if they don't smarten up.<BR/><BR/>JBJimBobbyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04603665575714484326noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19402125.post-78207920618941248952007-05-14T00:31:00.000-04:002007-05-14T00:31:00.000-04:00JeffI completely agree with the fluidity idea. Wh...Jeff<BR/><BR/>I completely agree with the fluidity idea. What I don't understand, how you can lose less of your election vote, relative to others, subsequently gain of the likes of the Liberals and Bloc, and still poll less than you did election night. Sorry, I always get wrapped up ;)Steve Vhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04871113039374739208noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19402125.post-15308547373209959182007-05-14T00:26:00.000-04:002007-05-14T00:26:00.000-04:00Steve, I think they're saying the Conservatives ha...Steve, I think they're saying the Conservatives have lost the least of their vote, they give the figure at 15 per cent leakage. But anyway, I think getting too wrapped-up in the numbers is counterproductive. I agree Anderson's analysis is all over the place but I think the theme is accurate enough: the electorate is fluid, there's little voter loyalty, and no one has captured the imagination of Canadians. In that, I think there's opportunity.Jeffhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14971310821484459106noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19402125.post-46827986236765551262007-05-14T00:18:00.000-04:002007-05-14T00:18:00.000-04:00JeffI read the breakdown of supporters staying wit...Jeff<BR/><BR/>I read the breakdown of supporters staying with a particular party. First of all, if you do some quick math, the percentages don't jive with the horserace numbers. If the Conservatives have kept their vote, relative to others, not to mention picking up others, then why are they below their election totals overall? The problem with Decima here, they go back to polling that had the Tories nearing majority, which warps the overall. Today, now, those numbers don't hold up, and you would see far more Tory leakage.<BR/><BR/>I was going to post on this finding, but frankly it seemed useless. You know what I mean :)Steve Vhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/04871113039374739208noreply@blogger.com