I'm just out the door for an evening of root beer and merry making so I've no time to crunch and analyze these numbers. Instead, I'll just push these hot of the press CP-Harris Decima polling numbers that just crossed my desk out to you to chew over and analyze, and perhaps I'll chime in later.
Here's the CP story:
Liberals, Tories in dead heat: pollHere's a link to the PDF with the juicy goodies from Decima.
Source: The Canadian Press
Mar 13, 2009 16:46
OTTAWA _ A new poll suggests the federal Liberals and Conservatives are in a dead heat _ but Tory support is dropping in some parts of the country and among women.
The Canadian Press Harris-Decima survey put the Liberals at 33 per cent and the Conservatives at 32.
The NDP was at 14 per cent, the Greens at 10, and the Bloc Quebecois at nine.
It suggests the Tories trail the Liberals by five percentage points among women overall and by 12 points among urban women.
The Conservatives have also seen their support plummet in Quebec, leaving them in a distant third place.
The Liberals were ahead in Ontario, where NDP support has sagged into a low-teens tie with the Greens. The telephone poll of 2,000 people was conducted Feb. 26 to March 8, and is considered accurate to within 2.2 percentage points 19 times out of 20.
And here's a chart with lots of red:
My quick thoughts? If we're getting women back that's good, we lost them to the Conservatives in the last election and it really hurt us. I hope the signs of Liberal recovery in BC hold. I like that we're gaining from the Conservatives in Quebec. And what up with the NDP only at 13, tied with the Greens, in Ontario? Overall results that mirror previous recent polls, and not bad from a Liberal perspective at all. Recommend this Post on Progressive Bloggers