Tuesday, March 31, 2009

You think it's easy to find that many Conservatives?

The auditor general has rapped the government's knuckles over its "bungling" of the appointments process to important boards, tribunals and what not:

Bungled communication and long delays hamper government appointments to multibillion-dollar commissions, boards and tribunals, says the auditor general.

"Poor communication shows a lack of respect for the individuals involved," Sheila Fraser said Tuesday in a report to Parliament.

"These are important positions, and the problems we identified could discourage people from accepting them."

Twenty-one of 45 senior Crown corporation officials interviewed described major information lapses.

"Fifteen described the process as a 'black box' or a 'black hole'," Fraser said. "Two of those informed us that they learned of their appointments through the media.

"For reappointments of directors, 16 of 41 Crown corporations indicated that incumbent directors were notified of their reappointments only after their terms had expired.

"Chairs and CEOs of three Crown corporations told us of instances where directors learned at a board meeting that they had been replaced days earlier."
Is it that hard these days to find competent Conservative partisans to take these patronage plums. Even if you're willing to overlook the competent part?

Hey, you know what would be great to address this situation? How about some kind of Public Appointments Commission to set merit-based requirements for appointments to government boards, commissions, and agencies, to ensure that competitions for posts are widely publicized
and fairly conducted.

Wait, where have I heard that before? Oh, yeah, the 2006 Conservative Party election platform.

Too bad that, instead of following through on their promise, they tried to stick a die hard Conservative partisan loyalist into a post supposedly designed to de-politicize the appointments process. And took their ball and went home pouting with the opposition said no.

I'm sure Gwyn Morgan could have found Conservative loyalists to fill every one of these vacant posts the AG is complaining about.

Instead, the Harperites seem to be directing more effort towards keeping the Auditor General off the trail. Remember when they loved you, Sheila? Don't worry. It's not personal.

"Officials of the Privy Council Office have expressed their view that aspects of our audit report go beyond the auditor general's mandate and encroach on the exercise of discretion by ministers and (the cabinet)," Fraser said.

"We are satisfied that the findings in our report fall entirely within the mandate of the auditor general."

Well, the PCO is right on one thing: ministers do have the discretion to be totally incompetent.

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Are you sure you really want to be a Conservative, Brian?

This story is a day too early for an April Fool's prank so it must be true. The Conservative Party and Brian Mulroney are feuding over his membership status. The party says he ain't a member, but Brian insists 'till death do us part!

Simmering tensions between Prime Minister Stephen Harper's government and predecessor Brian Mulroney boiled over with party sources saying he was no longer a Conservative and the ex-leader insisting he will be a party member as long as he draws breath.

Senior Conservatives contacted select reporters Tuesday to tell them Mulroney had effectively torn up his party card.

"I can confirm he is no longer a member," said one Conservative source.

The source said Mulroney called a senior party official two months ago to ask that his name be pulled off all party lists and materials and that communications with him cease.

"It was a call made at a senior level," said the source. "As is the case with anyone, we complied and did so."

Mulroney briskly fired off an unequivocal statement through his public relations team.

"I remain a member of the Conservative Party and I will remain so until the day I die," Mulroney said.


Well, I admire Brian's loyalty, if not much else. He should check his calendar though: this is the week the Conservative Party of Canada and the former Progressive Conservatives are totally different. Sorry Hugh Segal, Marjory Lebreton et al. But don't worry. I think next week it'll be back to a long, proud history of conservatism in Canada.

It's interesting though. Harper has for awhile been doing a reasonably effective job of rebuilding the old PC coalition that Mulroney road to successive majority governments: Quebec nationalists, the West, and progressive conservatives/red tories. Well, Harper had made progress on the first two anyway. And he was trying to replace the red tories by winning over conservative-sympathetic ethnic voters, and making progress too. But now he's losing Quebec, and this ongoing tiff with Mulroney, where I'm told they're rather fond of him, won't help.

Obviously at this point Harper has abandoned the Mulroney coalition model. One that, well, worked pretty well. For a time, anyways. Which begs the question: what's Harper's new gameplan? Or is the strategic master just making it up as he goes along?

You know who Harper should call advice?

Brian ... oh, yeah, right. Never mind.

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Monday, March 30, 2009

You still shouldn't get old in an opposition riding

Canwest journalist David Akin is tracking government spending via his Twitter feed with the tag #ottawaspends, and there seems to be one inescapable pattern that's emerging: when your parents are ready to retire, ship them off to a Conservative riding.

Akin counts eight press releases on Monday from the government touting $426,554 for seniors programs -- all in ridings held by Conservative MPs.

Among the highlights:

*St. Catharines $19,700 Drawing and painting classes for seniors.
*Mount Forest $32,473 Lawn bowling club and Thames Valley Residents Assn.

Eight announcements, 100 per cent in Conservative ridings? This follow's Akin's report last week that of 32 grants to seniors groups since Feb. 17. only one went to a non-Conservative riding.

Now, of course governing parties always fether their own nests a little. Frankly, what offends me more is that the Conservatives are doing such a half-assed job of even pretending not to just be shovelling pork to their own MPs. Is a little more finesse to much to ask for?

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Debate on Canadian citizens detained overseas needs to be elevated

Sadly, these days the only place the situation of Canadian Guantanamo Bay-detainee Omar Khadr seems to be being debated is on the op/ed pages of our increasingly endangered newspapers. On Monday Liberal senator and retired general Romeo Dallaire fired back at an op/ed by Howard Anglin last week that argued the Harper government's line:

Many Canadians are puzzled, and are being led astray, by Prime Minister Stephen Harper's flawed understanding of international law, and by his assertion that "to be a child soldier, you have to be in an army."

Harper conveniently overlooks the fact that in the 1990s Canada led international efforts at the United Nations to draft the Optional Protocol on the Involvement of Children in Armed Conflict, which unequivocally prohibits the recruitment or use of children by armed groups and militias under any circumstances.

Instead of acknowledging this bizarre contradiction, the government is desperately trying to redefine the term "child soldier." Speaking in the House of Commons, Deepah Obhrai, parliamentary secretary to the foreign-affairs minister revealed a double standard. He spoke sympathetically of meeting child soldiers in Burundi and stated that in that case, dire poverty and economic pressures cause children to be recruited as soldiers.

Conversely, when speaking of Omar Khadr, who was also a minor forced into combat by factors beyond his control, Obhrai declared that we "should be very careful when we start saying that the terrorists at Guantánamo should be given rights."

In his article ("Harper's right: Omar Khadr is not a child soldier," Opinion, March 20), Howard Anglin tries to justify the government's selective interpretation of the Optional Protocol. This appears to represent a change of heart, since Anglin, who has ties to the government and the Conservative Party, classified Khadr as a child soldier in his testimony before a House of Commons committee last spring.

Another troubling case is that of Abousfian Abdelrazik, a Canadian citizen stuck in Sudan because he's on the UN terror watch list. While it was apparently information from Canadian authorities that got him on the list, and the Conservative government insists he should be taken off the list, it keeps throwing new hurdles in his path to prevent him from returning to Canada:
Abousfian Abdelrazik, the Canadian citizen trapped in Sudan, should get himself off a UN terrorist blacklist if he wants to come home, Foreign Minister Lawrence Cannon says, adding a new stipulation to his repatriation and thwarting the efforts of more than 160 Canadians who have purchased a ticket home for him.

Mr. Abdelrazik is on "the 1267 UN list, and it would seem to me that he would, first and foremost, have to be able to get himself off that list," Mr. Cannon said when asked if the Harper government would honour its written pledge to issue the Montreal man a temporary passport if he could secure a flight home.

(snip)

Mr. Cannon's imposition of a new and seemingly insurmountable hurdle before Mr. Abdelrazik, 46, can return home is only the latest in a series of increasingly difficult conditions set by the Harper government.

Last summer, it said Mr. Abdelrazik would be given a temporary passport if he could get a reservation on an airline. When he did, the government said that wasn't sufficient, that a fully-paid ticket was required.

This is absolutely shameful. Clearly the Conservatives are trying to block Abdelrazik's return to Canada, while at the same time professing their and his innocence. They need to be honest and upfront here. I'm reminded of the attitude the Conservative opposition had when the Liberals were trying to get answers and bring Maher Arar home. If they have evidence against Abdelrazik, then put it up, otherwise get out of the way and let him come home.

I'm glad to see the opposition parties will be putting some pressure on this issue Tuesday:
OTTAWA _ Opposition MPs hold news conference on Mr. Abdelrazik held in Sudan. (10:30 a.m. at Room 130-S, Centre Block, Parliament Hill)

It's long-past time to pressure the government on Arar and Abdelrazik and the troubling attitude of this government towards Canadian citizens detained overseas.

Given that this is how the Harper Conservatives treat Canadian citizens, is it any wonder they're barring British MP George Galloway from entering Canada because they don't like his opinions?

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Wednesday, March 25, 2009

Managing expectations

I've touched down in Los Angeles for a work trip for briefings with HP, checked into the Beverly Wilshire in Beverly Hills and I have two hours to go and enjoy the sunny, warm weather and look for movie stars before my first meeting. So I'm going to try to keep my comments on last night's budget vote short, so I can get out of my room.


I agree with much of what Steve said on the topic. I'm very annoyed with what happened last night. Let me explain why though. For the Liberal team this was a failure of communications, and of managing expectations.


One thing should be clear from the start: the Liberals were always going to pass the budget, and this associated stimulus funding. First, we believe in this time of economic crisis we need to get the stimulus flowing. Second, voting it down would have triggered an election. There's no getting around that. And even if we wanted an election right now, Canadians don't. Triggering an election no one wants would be stupid right now. So this was always going to pass.

Where we erred was in allowing the expectation to arise that anything else was the case. And it's our own fault. We made the right call in January, that's clear: pass the budget and get out of the way to get the money flowing. Attach accountability measures and quarterly reporting. If we don't like what we see, we vote no-confidence.

When this $3B fund thing came up it seems we wanted to try the same play: let it pass with accountability measures attached. We did well on the latter half of that equation, the accountability measures were reasoned and sensible. Where we erred was on the first half, with the "blank check" rhetoric we allowed the false impression to take hold we were prepared to vote the stimulus down. We never were, but we left that impression, which then makes it seem like we've fallen into the same huff and puff and run away mentality again.

Fact is, the accountability measures we wanted were passed before the main stimulus vote, with BQ and NDP support. So we met our strategic goal, but our failure to manage expectations casts it as a defeat. And we're letting the other parties spin it thay way, we're not getting our message out.

Yes, the Conservatives say they'll ignore the motion: then we can go to Canadians and say Harper is ignoring the will if Parliment and the accountability demanded by a majority of parliamentarians. And they have actually promised more reporting, so we'll know where this money goes.

Yes, they motion is non-binding. We always knew that. It was always going to be non-binding. The enforcement is through the quarterly reports, through voting non-confidence if they're not behaving responsibly.

The lesson I hope the Liberals take here is to manage expectations, and don't bring the rhetoric if you're not going to back it up. We're on the right track here, we're behaving responsibly and Canadians are onside. Let's not fall into the old huff and bluff habits.

What happened to keeping this brief? I'm off to Rodeo Drive.

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Tuesday, March 24, 2009

Conservative Senator: Let them eat geese!

Conservative Senator Nancy Ruth (apparently a Paul Martin appointee, bipartisanship run amok!) has a novel idea on how the government can help deal with this whole economic downturn thing, feed the poor, and keep her "summer house" from getting all crappy at the same time: shoot the excess geese and use them to feed the poor.

"We should shoot some of these geese or feed them to the poor, that would be my preference," Nancy Ruth told senior officials of the Canadian Food Inspection Agency appearing at the Senate finance committee to discuss the agency's budget for the next fiscal year.

"The Canada goose is a health hazard," Ruth added, explaining fecal waste runs into the lake and causes skin irritation known as swimmer's itch.

And it's not just the Senator's summer house that has a goose problem:
"It's downtown Toronto, too, where I also have a home . . . Why don't we kill them and feed them to the poor in Toronto? There's always been this discussion. We cull other animals. Why would we not cull the goose, especially when we have more and more people using food banks?"
You there boy, shoot me a goose! The finest goose in aaaallll of cottage country that's crapping all over my deck chair. And then ship it down to a soup kitchen in Scarborough or something...
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The NDP gets feisty in QP

I haven’t seen the video, but according to the transcript it looks like the NDP is getting feisty in question period (which I’m not opposing, btw). It appears both Bill Siksay and Niki Ashton (who dat? --ed) had questions ruled out of order today. Bill on Saanich-Gulf Islands ads, and Niki on the Conservative campus club controversy.

These were both questions that the NDP knew would be ruled out of order – questions need to relate to the portfolio of the minister, say the rules -- so it’s all a bit of theatre. Still, valid issues (to politicos at least, maybe not at the kitchen table), and I can’t recall the last time a party had three (with Siksay’s supplemental) questions disallowed in the same QP.

Here’s the first, from Siksay (this is the closed captioning, hence the weirdness at times):

>> Bill Siksay (NDP): Mr. Speaker, the minister of sport: Third party group brought ads endorsing the minister during the campaign. They had the same financial officer linking them to each other. They had the same address at the office of a senior political conservative activist, who's on the riding executive, linking them to the minister. These links are too obvious to ignore. Can the minister explain.

>> The speaker: I... questions about elections generally are not the minister dmresh the administrative responsibility of the government and question furred is intended for that purpose, so I don't think the question the honourable member process posed is in order. The honourable member for Burnaby-Douglas has a cement reply, though, if he wisheS.

>> Bill Siksay (ndp): Mr. Speaker, I'll try again, because it goes up holding the law that all members of parliament are required to do. These are the facts: Dish linked to each other and link today the minister. One with an explicit link to his campaign manager. Advertising speak by the four groups of over $12,000 to endorse the minister's candidacy. Spending that, if charged too his campaign, would put him over the limit. Does the minister deny these facts? Bass this an attempt to circumvent spending...

>> The speaker: I don't think it's in order for the minister to answer. Nor is the question in order because the question does not concern the administrative responsibilities of the government. That's the administrative responsibility of Elections Canada and the member may want to pose his question to the chief electoral officer in due course.
And Ashton:
>> Niki Ashton (NDP): Documents leaked recently from an on-campus conservative party workshop show that this government is actively encouraging the undermining of campus democracy with the establishment of front organizations to funnel student money to the parity. Threats and attacks, the conservative party is attempting to manipulate the democratic control of student unions across Canada. This is unacceptable, Mr. Speaker. Does the government condone the overthrowing of democracy on campuses by the conservative party?

>> The speaker: Order. Again, I'm afraid the honourable member's question appears to have to do with party matters and nothing to do with government responsibilities, which question period is to be about. And so we'll move on to the next question.
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Turkey and Poland: We'll take Peter MacKay to block

Much like his on again, off again political career, the bold dream of Peter MacKay becoming NATO chief MAY be somewhat back on again, if these reports are to be believed:

A senior Turkish legislator says his country does not back Danish Prime Minister Anders Fogh Rasmussen as NATO's next secretary general.

Suat Kiniklioglu, a top foreign policy official in Turkey's government, says Ankara favours Canadian Defence Minister Peter MacKay for the role, even though MacKay has said he prefers to keep his current job.


Fogh Rasmussen is seen as the front-runner to replace Jaap de Hoop Scheffer as NATO secretary general when his term ends at the end of July.


But Turkey, a NATO member, objects to Fogh Rasmussen because of the 2006 Prophet cartoon crisis, his reported opposition to Turkey's EU membership and his stance on Kurdish rebels.
And this report, via Wells:
According to press reports, Poland is to join Turkey in opposing the candidature of the Dane, Anders Fogh Rasmussen for the post of NATO secretary-general. Warsaw will instead back the Canadian defence minister Peter MacKay for the post, it is being speculated.
Poland says they’re backing the MacKay and want to block the Dane because the Canadian is “young, super-intelligent, dynamic and resourceful” (have they met our Peter?) but Turkey is making it clear they don’t want Rasmussen because, among a number of reasons, of his strident support of the right of the Danish newspapers to publish the cartoons of the Prophet Muhammad:
"It is unacceptable that NATO be headed by an individual who has in the past rudely disrespected our values and religious beliefs," Kiniklioglu said in reference to Danish cartoons of the Prophet Muhammad that sparked Muslim protests worldwide.

Fogh Rasmussen defended freedom of speech amid the protests.
It’s still a long shot, but I’m rooting for Peter MacKay to get the job now more than ever, if only to see the reaction from Conservatives as they try to balance their pride in Peter’s success, Canada's back, yada yada, with the fact he only got the job because Rasmussen strongly supported publishing the Danish cartoons and was therefore deemed an unacceptable NATO boss.

I particularly look forward to Ezra’s commentary.
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(Video) Bruce Hallsor, Gary Lunn and Saanich-Gulf Islands

The Globe's Bill Curry writes this morning on a story that online media like The Tyee and Public Eye Online have been on for some time: the strange doings last election in Saanich-Gulf Islands:

Nudity, phantom phone calls, party switching: The 2008 federal election campaign in Saanich-Gulf Islands had it all.

Now Conservative MP and cabinet minister Gary Lunn, who won a hard-fought bid for re-election, is facing allegations his campaign had improper ties to third-party groups that bought pro-Lunn advertising.

New Democratic Party MP Bill Siksay sent a letter yesterday to the Commissioner of Elections Canada asking for an investigation into whether the advocacy groups broke the law.

"These previously unheard of organizations, with links to the minister and his political organization, ran ad campaigns endorsing the minister totalling over $12,000, a figure that if the minister's local campaign would have spent would have put him over the legal limit. Was this an attempt to do an end run around the spending limits?" Mr. Siksay asked in the House of Commons yesterday. He later produced Elections Canada filings for the groups.

Good on Bill Siksay for sending the letter to Elections Canada and raising the issue in the HoC. As Public Eye Online reported last week though, local Liberal riding association president Paul McKivett has already written to Elections Canada on the third-party funding issue, and Elections Canada is examining the allegations (as a precursor to a possible investigation):

In a March 2 letter soon to be made public by the Saanich-Gulf Islands federal Liberal constituency association, Elections Canada legal counsel John Dickson said the agency is reviewing the documentation filed by third party advertisers.

And, according to Mr. Dickson, Elections Canada's commissioner William Corbett could order an investigation if he believes the Saanich-Gulf Island advertiser filings deserve further review.

Back to the Globe though, and some of the specific allegations:

Recently released Elections Canada records show four of the groups - Citizens Against Higher Taxes, Economic Advisory Council of Saanich, Dean Park Advocacy Association and Saanich Peninsula Citizens Council - all used the same financial agent and provided the same postal address.

That address also belongs to Bruce Hallsor, a Victoria lawyer listed as an executive member of Mr. Lunn's Electoral District Association responsible for "election readiness." The Canada Elections Act states that third parties cannot spend more than $3,000, plus an adjustment for inflation, on advertising in support of a specific candidate and cannot splinter into separate groups to avoid breaching that limit.

Mr. Hallsor said yesterday there was nothing improper with the fact that he filed the groups' reports. He said he played a small role in Mr. Lunn's campaign and the groups had no direct involvement with the Lunn campaign, nor any knowledge of Mr. Lunn's campaign finances. He also said the groups conveyed different messages in their ads.
Very amusing to see Hallsor trying to distance himself from Lunn and minimize their relationship as much as possible, despite the fact he's a long-time member of his riding executive and even has responsibility, as Curry notes, for election readiness.

And when Lunn was one of the dissident MPs suspended from the Canadian Alliance caucus in 2001 by Stockwell Day, guess who was sent-up to CBC Newsworld to defend him? Yes, that's right, it was his good buddy Bruce Hallsor:



No one is buying your attempt to distance yourself from Lunn here Bruce, sorry. It just doesn't pass the laugh test.

More from CanPolitico.

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Rick Mercer weighs-in on Fox News fiasco

Rick Mercer, a man well schooled in the art of intelligent political satire that's actually, well, funny, weighs-in on the Fox News Fiasco in the Globe this morning:

"They should be ignored," said political satirist Rick Mercer, who hosts his own show on CBC. "If you're going to do satire, three of the most important rules are you have to tell the truth, you can't be a bully and don't be an asshole," he said, adding: "Being a bully is not satire."

Mr. Mercer said the fact that Red Eye airs in the middle of the night is a sign that its creator isn't experiencing "the pinnacle of success."
I was tempted to ignore it from here forward Rick, but that was a quote I had to share.

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Monday, March 23, 2009

Grandma, we're shipping you to Calgary

Via David Akin:

The government has announced 32 grants for seniors' groups since Feb. 17, and only one went to an organization located in a riding not held by a Conservative MP.
This isn't a new phenomenon, of course. The moral? Don't get old in an opposition-held riding. At least, not if you want to enjoy "inter generational movie nights", native beadwork, dancing, and storytelling, or scrapbook, all with government assistance.

(h/t Wherry)

BTW, speaking of tracking government spending and action -- or, dare we say, in action -- on maters economic, this is a neato new Web site that aims to do just that.

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General Leslie on Fox News: I'll take the slanders for our young men

As mentioned earlier I attended a Canadian Journalism Foundation-sponsored event tonight where the commander of Canada's Army, Lt. General Andrew Leslie, was the speaker on the role of the media and the military in our democracy. Very informative, interesting event.

Since what I'm sure is on everyone's mind is the Fox News story, I'll jump ahead to that. About mid-way through the Q&A, a reporter from the CTV National News (they were taping, so look for it on the news tonight) asked Leslie for his reaction to the Fox comments, and specifically the slanders on his name. Follows is a rough account of his reply (may not be word for word):

“Did I say I looked forward to these questions?,” he laughed. “We all know the superb quality of the Canadian soldiers who represent us as truly world class, they have a reputation as tough, capable soldiers. We've shed a lot of blood in Afghanistan, and I just wish some of the private citizens – certainly they weren't former soldiers – of some of our neighboring countries and allies were more aware of our contribution … in a very tough fight. (And as for personal attacks on him) if our young men are willing to fight for our country, I'm willing to get slandered for them.”
That last bit earned Leslie his strongest applause of the night from the audience.

So, Fox drama aside, back to the beginning and his speech, which I had to watch from an overflow room via CCTV because I'd arrived 5 minutes late and, although there were still seats and I was pre-registered, the door was shut so CTV could tape. Annoying. (They let us in for the Q&A)

Kvetching aside, I thought Leslie made a very reasoned, thoughtful performance that made an honest effort to make both the Army's case and the case for media oversight of the military. I'll present my bullet-point notes on Leslie's speech and answers, and save my comments for the end.

* Soldiers and the media walk towards the sound of the bullets.

* He's faced some tough media interviewers, but by far the toughest audience he ever faces is his own soldiers. They're professionals and their lives are on the line, they want to know what they need to know, they have tough questions, and they're not afraid to ask them.

*The kinship between Canadians and its military is closer now than it's been in many years.

*Media scrutiny is essential to a successful military, and he welcomes that scrutiny.

*The military needs to be properly equipped to do the jobs its tasked with. And they don't decide the missions, the Canadian people (though their elected representatives and government) do.

*The rapid succession of evolutionary steps armies are taking to respond to the new threat paradigm is unprecedented, with traditional doctrines being re-examined and changed. We're well beyond the Cold War paradigm.

*We've reconfirmed our Army's reputation as one of the best small armies in the world. Yes, the cost is high, but it's an immutable fact that influence in international relations is often exacted by our men and women in uniform.

*We're increasing the Army's intellectual horsepower. We're improving support for families but more has to be done, he's the first to admit that.

*Speaking on Toronto he said we're still sensitive about the snowstorm so we won't talk about that but hey, you called and we came with shovels. This earns a laugh.

*Retention and recruitment is a major challenge. Attrition rates have risen from a traditional five to six per cent to a current nine to 10 per cent. Military has the same demographic challenges as the private sector, and so many soldiers are leaving for jobs on “Civvy Street” is causing him grey hairs. You can't walk off the street and be a regimental Sargent-Major, you need to start at the bottom.

*The Army leadership is obviously biased for our soldiers. But Canadians need to know the unbiased picture, and for that the Army relies on the media. Only with independent media scrutiny can Canadians be sure they're getting the clear picture. So long as it's far and balanced. But we need an engaged citizenry.

*There's been times where the results of your unbiased reporting have caused the Army to feel like it has digested a litre of cod liver oil. But while it tastes horrible, it's good for you in that it causes the Army to identify and ackowledge problems and take corrective action.

*Afghanistan is in some ways like Canada's Vietnam in that it's Canada's first TV war. It's real, and it's in your face. Media are embedded in the field. There's a constant media presence in Kandahar. It's challenging, bit it's been a success. The best PR for the Army is to let soldiers talk to the media, for for the media to see what they do.

*Through the media, Canadians need to see the faces and learn the names and the stories of our fallen. It's important for Canadians to be aware of the consequences when the Army is deployed to dangerous places.

*(Question on peace vs. war, necessity of war, and peacekeeping) We need a multiplicity of ways to deal with global threats. No soldier wants to go to war, but they're willing to go if they're told to by their country, to fight, and do die if necessary for their country. He happens to believe there are certain things worth dying for. There is diplomacy and other tools but when that doesn't work, you turn to the military, and folks in uniform go out and do their jobs and risk their lives in support of our international objectives. Soft power can't be disconnected from hard power, they're intrinsically linked. What's in the colour of a beret? The beret (we're wearing in Afghanistan) may be dull camo (instead of blue) but he still thinks we're doing the work of Pearson.

*(Oversight, can you spread democracy where its not wanted?) He's a strong believer in ministerial and parliamentary oversight. He thinks democracy is worth fighting for, but that's not his decision, that's yours. That's your debate to have.

*(Question, something about Afghanistan and the historical failure of 'scorched earth' approaches) The over application of military force is nit the way to get people onside that want better lives for their sons and daughters. This isn't' the Cold War, the military is now a much more able and sophisticated instrument. Sometimes we do have to fight and kill, that's not the objective but we will, especially if they're truing to get through to the people we're trying to protect. But it's not the objective.

*(Question on what's next, re-equipping the Army, future threats) If it's not complicated and dangerous, why send us? In the future, until more technology emerges, we need to equip our people with more amour and more Kevlar so they're protected when they go out. But once the work really begins when the ramp goes down. Where we go next the solution will not solely rest with the military, they'll go with diplomats and humanitarian groups to build society and the rule of law.

Infantrymen today are akin to the special forces of yesterday. If you want us to have those capabilities it's not a matter of flipping a switch. It takes 20 years to build a battalion commander, 25 years to build a regimental Sargent-Major. You want to think carefully of the consequences of throwing away capabilities an uncertain future may demand.

*(Question on poppy issue in Afghanistan) He's definitely not an expert, but he has yet to see a proposed solution to the poppy issue he could wholeheartedly sign-on to that doesn't raise questions once you consider the second, third, worth order of implications. And it needs to be a solution the Afghans can accept, to what degree can we push our ideals and values onto them?

*(Question, comment on George Galloway banning) No, I will absolutely, categorically, not comment on that. Good try though, and I complement you for it.

*(Same guy, but you think about retired generals speaking at political events, like Rick Hillier to the Conservative-sympathetic Manning Centre) An underlying premise of the democratic model is that, when in uniform, we're completely subordinate by law, practice and tradition to the government of the day. But when we hang-up that uniform we have the democratic right to go to the microphone and speak our minds. And that's a right Hillier spent his career in uniform defending.

*(Globe's Hugh Winsor asks long, and good, question. He says Leslie is very open and candid, and so are the soldiers on the ground, but there's a disconnect in the bureaucracy at DND. During the detainee affair, misinformation was given to the House of Commons and to the media. And after the detainee affair, DND set up a committee to vet and stall any contentious Access to Information request. How, Winsor asked, do you square your desire for openness and media scrutiny with the roadblocking by DND?)

Leslie gave Winsor a sarcastic “thanks Hugh” (apparently they go back a bit) and considered it carefully before answering delicately, noting he has nothing to do with the Access committee and he doesn't run the military end of the Afghan mission, so he's not an expert of the detainee issue.

But he said he thinks DND learned a lot of interesting lessons from the detainee affair, such as the consequences on iterations of working with Afghan military and police, with a nascent judicial system, and with limited oversight of prisons. He said the argument could be made that, with its investigative resources, the media shone a cold, hard light on the issue and now it's being handled much better, so the system works.

My Thoughts

If you're still reading at this point, I'll say I agree with much of what Leslie had to say, and I think he's a strong advocate for the Army and for the soldiers in the field. Obviously he had to be careful in his answers at time, he serves political masters and he needs to operate within their guidelines and desires. And that, frankly, is how it should and needs to be. We don't want soldiers making policy.

Obviously, while Leslie's message on welcoming media scrutiny is a good, appropriate one, there is a strong dose of propaganda to that. And while I think he's sincere, when you ask the media, the public and DND what an appropriate level of such scrutiny would be you're going to get three different answers. And a fourth when you ask the Harper government, and their view is the only one that counts.

So, no matter how genuine he is on it and whether all of DND is on board or not, the message is the right one and it's up to us, the public and the media, to keep the pressure on the military (and the government) to live-up to Leslie's desire for scrutiny.

And to ensure that, when we do ask our military members to saddle-up, it's for the right reasons, and that we've got their backs.

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Democracy and Journalism: Off to see Lt. General Lesie

Given the controversy in the (progressive, anyway) blogs, eventually the media, and today in the House of Commons (a Conservative backbencher lobbed a QP question to Laurie Hawn, who called for Fox to apologize) over the asinine display of disrespecting our troops by the "comedians" at Fox News (they issued an "apology" today) it's appropriate I'm out the door and on my way downtown for this Canadian Journalism Foundation event:

Democracy and Journalism: The View from the Front
For our second event in the "Democracy and Journalism" series in collaboration with the Munk Centre, we welcome Lt.-Gen. Andrew Leslie, Chief of Land Staff of the Canadian Forces, to speak on the relationship between democracy and journalism from a military perspective.
Army chief General Leslie was mocked by name by the morons at Fox News (they found his last name amusing), so I'll let you know if the good general has any thoughts for the people at Fox News. And, of course, watch tonight or tomorrow morning for a full report on the evening's discussion on what promises to be an interesting topic. You can also watch my Twitter feed for some live updates via BlackBerry during the event.

P.S. Here's the QP exchange. Maybe more Conservative bloggers will register their displeasure now that those on high have signaled theirs' (transcript from closed captioning, I haven't time to fancy it up):
>> Mike wallace (c): Thank you, mr. Speaker. Canadians are outraged at the ignorant comments about the canadian military that is running on the fox news show "red eye with greg gutfield." The episode mocks the courageous efforts of canada's brave men and women in afghanistan and is particularly hurtful as canadians mourn the loss of four more soldiers who have paid the ultimate sacrifice. Can the parliamentary secretary to the minister of defence tell us what does he think about this appalling episode that belittles the efforts of our canadian military?

>> The speaker: The honourable parliamentary secretary to the minister of national defence.

>> Laurie hawn (c): Well, mR. Speaker, i want to first express our deepest condolences and friends to the family and friends of our soldiers who return to canada today after making the ultimate sacrifice in afghanistan. The comments expressed by so-called comedians on fox news are disgraceful, ignorant and insulting to the canadian forces members, our diplomat and the development workers who've died in afghanistan and others who've been injured. Canadians who know of -- and others who know of canada's efforts are not laughinG. Canadian troops have been consistently praised by allied commanders and political leaders for their courage, dedication and professionalism on the battlefield. I would hope these people recognize their remarks were wrong and would move to apologize to the families and friends.
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BCer 3.0

You may have noticed I've changed the look and feel of my blog, and I'd welcome any thoughts you may have.

I've been putting off moving to one of the newer blogger templates for some time because of my natural resistance to change, but I decided to finally take the plunge and it was actually easier than I'd though to port most of my sidebar stuff over to the new design.

I like the new template, it makes better use of the screen (particularly on wide-screen displays), the text is easier to read, and the simple white background makes graphics pop a little more. It's a more simple, less is more, focus on the content design that is hopefully easier to read.

The new blogger template also makes it easier to add various widgets, such as a Digg.com button and a button to share posts on Facebook and other social media services. I do still need to do some experimenting to get the Progressive Boggers vote button back though.

I'll keep tweaking over the next few days, but I hope you like the new look.

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Policy and the Liberal convention

Following my post last week raising some concerns about the restriction of voting power around the Liberal policy process leading-up to the Vancouver convention, I was interviewed by Harris MacLeod of The Hill Times. The article ran this morning:

What Mr. Ferguson didn't say, however, is that the votes cast on the En Famille forum are purely "consultative votes," and that whereas at past conventions elected delegates from riding associations across the country voted on which resolutions get sent to the plenary session, this time only the riding and provincial commission presidents get to vote.

"The idea was good in a sense, I'm all in favour of one member, one vote to give more power to the membership, but I think they kind of failed on the implementation of it by then restricting the vote to just the riding presidents and the commission presidents, which of course is a much more restrictive pool of people then if it had been voted on by all of the delegates," said Jeff Jedras, who is a Liberal Party member and writes the blog A BCer in Toronto.

In addition to the results of the En Famille vote, riding association presidents are also encouraged to hold meetings with their membership and canvass Liberals in their ridings about which policies they think should be prioritized and voted on at the plenary session.

Mr. Jedras, who lives in Liberal MP John Cannis's riding of Scarborough-Centre, said he can't speak for other ridings but as far as he knows there has been no such initiative in his riding.

"If the riding presidents take this seriously and they do their job this could work, but you're putting an awful lot of faith in the riding presidents.... Certainly I've not been invited to any consultation meetings or consulted at all as a member at large," Mr. Jedras said.

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Sunday, March 22, 2009

Third-party mud starts to fly in BC election

BC politics has always been a little out there. From the Bennetts to Vanderzalm, from bingogate to hydrogate to Taxman Glen, politics in Lotusland have always been a little wacky. There will be an election May 12 and things are starting to heat-up again.

Rather that fling mud themselves though, right now it looks like its third-party proxy groups that are getting their hands dirty. Possibly the most outrageous example is an advertisement called "Gordon Campbell Hates You" from MoveForwardBC.ca, a group launched by the Canadian Office and Professional Employees Union, Local 378 (COPE 378) to attack the BC Liberals.



This moves beyond negative to downright insulting and disgusting, with a big dash of stupid thrown in. Far from being effective, I think it just undermines the credibility of the organization promoting it.

On the other side of the spectrum is Vote Smart BC, set-up by the Independent Contractors and Builders Association of BC (ICBA), to take on the BC NDP. They oppose unionization in the industry. They don't have the option of embedding their videos (bad social media strategy, ICBA!) but they have a number of ads on their site. They go after the BC NDP in a much tamer although still negative way, using two animated yard signs to slam the NDP's record in government in the 1990s. There's also a game where you can race a fast ferry using a rowboat. You always seem to either get swamped in the wake, get pushed to victory by a rip tide, or win when the ferry gets hauled off to auction.

Just a taste of politics, BC style. And the increasing influence of third-party money and advertising, particularly when fixed election dates gives everyone time to get the mud ready to fly well in advance.
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Saturday, March 21, 2009

See Harper speak, win a rifle

It seems to be the new normal: come see a Conservative speak and you could go home with a gun.

Prime Minister Stephen Harper is courting controversy by giving a speech this weekend at a fishing and hunting conference where organizers are auctioning off a hunting rifle.

The prime minister will deliver the keynote address tonight in Mississauga, Ont., at the annual conference of the Ontario Federation of Anglers and Hunters. The organization is holding a silent auction at the conference for a "hunting package" that includes a rifle.

Harper's appearance comes only days after Conservative MP Garry Breitkreuz faced an uproar over plans to address a dinner where the organizers, the Canadian Shooting Sports Association, will give away a Beretta semi-automatic handgun as a raffle prize.

"Is there going to be a weapon auctioned off at every event they speak at?" said Liberal MP Mark Holland. "The optics are terrible, and when you mix it with everything else the government is doing to undermine gun control, it's disturbing."

As long as the winner is licensed and registers it, I have no problem with the Ontario Federation of Anglers and Hunters raffling off a rifle as part of their annual conference today. Rifles and handguns are two different things. And they are hunters, so it's kinda logical.

What I do question, here, is Stephen Harper's political judgment. Usually he probably could have gotten away from this with minimal fuss. But coming just days after the Garry Breitkreuz handgun controversy, the optics of this are just ridiculous and it will not play well at all in the communities that are dealing with gang violence, communities where he has been trying to gain ground with his supposedly tough on crime legislation.

Forget the merits of the long-guns vs. hand guns debate, the fact is this raffle in conjunction with the Breitkreuz thing sends an awful message to Canadians at a time when crime is an important issue on their minds. The Conservatives should have known better, and nipped this one in the bud.

The best I can say is that maybe this is a sop to their base, a way to send a message that "forget than handgun thing, or that we haven't abolished the gun registry after three years, see, screw them liberals, we love our rifles too" and play the culture game. Maybe so, but I think the bite they're going to take on the other side outweighs the benefit of tossing a bone to the base.

It is the Ontario Federation of Anglers and Hunters. Couldn't they just auction off a dammed fishing rod and tackle box?
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Nanos puts Liberals in the lead at 36%

I'd heard there were new numbers coming from Nanos that could prove interesting, and interesting they did indeed prove. The latest Nanos poll (PDF) puts the Liberals at 36%, a level they haven't reached and three points ahead of the Conservatives, at 33%. As interestingly, the NDP has dropped significantly since December, now trailing well back at 13%.



The regional numbers show Liberal leads in every area of the country except for Western Canada where Conservative strength, particularly I'd suspect in Alberta, is contributing to a Conservative number that may appear stronger that it would be seat-wise. Although, a decline in NDP support in much of the West would benefit the Conservatives seat-wise, as many of those races tend to be NDP/Conservative battles.

We see continued Liberal strength in Atlantic Canada though and a widened Liberal lead in Ontario. And in Quebec, while I find it difficult to believe the Liberals have closed to within 4 of the BQ (remember the high MOE), the numbers do show we continue to open daylight on the Conservative in the province.


Harper does still lead Ignatieff for Best PM 33% to 27%, but Ignatieff is getting closer and becoming a credible alternative. What's interesting to note though is the regional Best PM numbers. Both Ignatieff and Harper's numbers are fairly consistent accross the board here with one exception: Harper's numbers in Quebec. While Harper scores a high of 48% in the West, 35% in Atlantic Canada and 31% in Ontario, in Quebec he scores a very dismal 14%. Clearly, he's a significant drag on their numbers in the province.

Here's Nik Nanos' take on these numbers:

"The key is the steady decline in support for the NDP with those former NDP voters moving to the Liberals," Nik Nanos said yesterday.

"It's the consolidation scenario the Conservatives should be fearful of," Nanos said, noting the Harper government has benefited in recent years from centre-left voters parking their support with the NDP.

Nanos said the widening Liberal margin in Ontario is likely a result of the economic downturn.

"Ontario voters in my experience are more likely to vote economic issues and punish incumbent governments," he said.

My Take

Polling numbers should always be taken with a grain of salt. However, while Nanos does put the Liberals at a newly recent high, the trends do mirror what we've been seeing recently from Strategic Counsel, Angus Reid and Harris Decima. So therefore, it seems safe to extrapolate some observations based on the pretty consistent trends we've been seeing across multiple pollsters.

Clearly, under Ignatieff the Liberals are now once again seen as a credible alternative to the Conservatives. What's more, Ignatieff is succeeding in becoming the logical alternative to Harper and is succeeding in solidifying the anti-Harper vote under the Liberal banner.

As Nanos notes, and as other polls have also indicated, the Liberals appear to be pulling votes from the NDP rather than the Conservatives, whose numbers have remained fairly consistent, although buoyed by overwhelming numbers in the West. The exception is Quebec, where the Liberals are gaining from the Conservative free-fall.

But why the NDP to Liberal trend? Commenters in an earlier post speculated it was "lent votes" returning back to the Liberals. That could well be a part of it. Still, given that Ignatieff was supposedly going to take the party to the Right, those were probably Left-Liberal votes the NDP thought they'd build on, not lose. No, I think the deeper issue is the call both parties made on the budget. I think the Liberals read the mood of the country right by deciding to swallow it with the accountability amendment and probation, and the NDP decision to reject it sight unseen caused them a significant credibility issue. It's an economic crisis, people wanted cooperation. Clearly, the NDP need a new strategy. They're still running their Liberal/Tory same old story strategy from the last Parliament. It worked for them then, but with the proximity to the last election, the economic crisis and a stronger leader in Ignatieff it's not the right play now. At some point it would start to resonate again, but I think we'll be into an election well before then.

When looking at the Conservative national number, I think we should exercise caution because of their overwhelming support in the West. Whether you win a seat with 38& or 75%, you only win the seat once. So I think that 33% is probably a little weaker than it looks. They're looking at seat drops in Quebec and Ontario right now, particularly in Quebec it's save the furniture territory.

For the Liberals these are obviously quite good numbers, moving us past the 33-34% barrier that seemed to have been our recent ceiling. But we should be cautious. We've yet to see the Conservative negative ad barrage, and the media haven't gone too hard after Ignatieff yet either. The media love to build you up and then tear you down, it suits their definition of fairness.

But as Harper might say, the fundamentals are looking strong. We're set for gains in both Quebec and Ontario, the two "vote-rich" provinces key to getting us back to the promised land. The West remains a challenge. If we can get BC back that will be important. I suspect we're likely neck-in-neck with the NDP there, despite Decima and Strategic Counsel, but we're trending well and the convention may help. Alberta will be tough but we need to make the effort. And we need to push on the Prairies too. Speaking of which, Ignatieff was in Manitoba yesterday.

The key for the Liberals though is to solidify and then build on these numbers. We do that by keeping the focus on the economy. We can't let them distract us or Canadians with Russian invaders or other diversionary tactics. Keep it on the economy. I think Harper's competence to see us through this crisis could potentially become an issue, so Ignatieff needs to be positioned as the better alternative.

For more, see Far and Wide, CanPolitico and BigCityLib.

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Friday, March 20, 2009

F*ck you Fox News

On a day when four more brave Canadian soldiers gave their lives in Afghanistan, I come across this video of Fox News openly mocking Canada and the sacrifice our country and our military has made in the country. I'm really pissed off right now. Hey Jason Kenney, as long as you're looking for people to ban from the country, how about the assholes at Fox News?!



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Tomorrow's stories today

The Daily Look-ahead from CP often offers an interesting sneak-peak into the stories the media will be covering. Here's a look ahead at some likely political stories we'll probably be reading about over the next few days, starting with weekend events.

LAVAL, Que. _ The Quebec caucus of the federal Liberals meets through Sunday. (8 a.m. at Sheraton, 2440 Autoroute des Laurentides)
Get a large group of Quebec Liberals together and it's always a party. Wonder what Denis Coderre will have to say? Hopefully they'll leave the drama to the Conservatives, who seem to have it well in hand.
OTTAWA _ More than 100 delegates from across the country attend NDP federal council meeting. Party Leader Jack Layton speaks at noon Sunday. Marshall Ganz, a Harvard lecturer and Obama organizer, gives keynote address at 11 a.m. Sunday. (9 a.m. at Marriott Hotel, 100 Kent St.)
Get a large group of NDPers together and its always ... a large group of NDPers. Will Jack take heat from the faithful though for the spate of troubling polling? Will he signal a change in strategy? Maybe the Obama organizer will talk some sense into them.
MISSISSAUGA, Ont. _ Prime Minister Stephen Harper gives keynote address at annual general meeting of Ontario Federation of Anglers and Hunters.
Wonder what the door prize will be?
WINNIPEG _ Manitoba Liberals hold their annual general meeting. A vote on whether to open up the leadership and effectively oust leader Jon Gerrard is expected Sunday morning. (Canada Inns Polo Park)
Nothing to do with his blogging career, I trust?

And on Monday:
OTTAWA _ Statistics Canada releases February leading indicators. (8:30 a.m. at www.statcan.ca)
Will they be positive or negative? Place your bets now. Either way, Stephen Harper will assure us he's totally not surprised, this is exactly what he expected all along, please send him money because some Liberal girl is making videos that use facts and stuff to make him look bad. It's not fair!
OTTAWA _ Special Senate aging committee meets in camera. Subject to change without notice. (12:30 p.m. at Room 705, Victoria Building, 140 Wellington St.)
Aren't all Senate committes aging?

Thank-you. Tip your waitresses.
OTTAWA _ Commons defence committee hears witnesses on Russian military aircraft approaching Canada's airspace. Subject to change without notice. (3:30 p.m. at Room 362, East Block, Parliament Hill)
Really, commons defence committee? I hope you've at least got Dustin Hoffman and Robert DeNiro as witnesses. Hopefully O'Malley gives this live-blogging priority.
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Harper's answer for Quebec: Give everyone titles

Usually I don't read that many stories out of Quebec for the simple reason that my French language skills suck and Babelfish was a pretty crappy translator, but with Google Translate doing a much better job I've been reading more Quebec coverage and there's some interesting stuff out there. Particularly with the Conservative meltdown in the province.

And speaking of that meltdown, here's a translated CP story on Harper's newly unveiled master plan to revitalize the Conservative Party in Quebec:

Harper tries to calm the discontent in Quebec REGIONAL BOARDS

--------------------------------------------------

OTTAWA - (CP) Prime Minister Stephen Harper has approved a restructuring plan for the team of the Conservative Party in Quebec in an attempt to quell the discontent of its activists and attempt to restart his training in the province.

The new structure will include 12 regional councils, the number of organizers in the field double and a new funding strategy will be implemented. Party activists have wanted to see revived a wing of the Conservative Party in Quebec, but the new strategy of Mr. Harper seeks rather a decentralized regional approach to compete with the Bloc Quebecois.

The Conservatives have the intention to combine the associations of counties in a dozen councils across the province.

In addition, to support the above, the number of permanent employees of the party in Quebec, which is now four, is expected to increase significantly in the coming weeks.

Finally, Quebec City and Montreal, conservative leaders will be appointed to form associations of counties, to improve the effectiveness of fundraising.
I think by counties they likely mean ridings, so they're grouping riding associations into 12 different regional councils rather than creating a pan-provincial organization, such as the Liberal model with the Liberal Party of Canada (Quebec) PTA.

While the balance between centralization and decentralization is always a tricky one, and at times the LPC hasn't always gotten it right (the fight for centralized membership lists, par example), while much depends on what each province makes of it by and large the PTA structure has been an asset for the LPC, allowing regions to be innovative on the ground and adapt more quickly to local issues, as well as represent regional issues to the central party.

Clearly the Conservatives decided they needed to do something different for Quebec (they run a very centralized party accross Canada) but rejected the PTA model for these 12 regional councils. A good comprimise for them, perhaps. They get more regional coordination and organization, but by opting for 12 regional councils rather than one pan-provincial organization they're not creating a group with the critical mass to bite back at central too hard.

I guess the question remains how seriously will CPC, and will Quebec Conservatives, take these councils. Is it just giving everyone titles, or will they be listened to and will they get to work. Time will tell. Interesting that they expect to ramp-up CPC paid staff in the province too.
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Ontario Conservative race to be a family affair?

It's a good thing Stephen Harper "laid down the law" the other day for his caucus re: the Ontario Conservative leadership race, because things could be getting interesting:

Supporters of federal Human Resources Minister Diane Finley are testing the waters for a possible run for the leadership of Ontario's Progressive Conservatives, raising a new prospect that family ties from the provincial race could make waves in Stephen Harper's Conservative Party in Ottawa.

(snip)

But a bid by Ms. Finley, whose husband Doug Finley is Mr. Harper's powerful campaign manager, would add a new wrinkle to a provincial contest that holds the potential to create rifts among federal Tories.

Christine Elliott, the MPP for Whitby-Ajax and wife of Federal Finance Minister Jim Flaherty, is already lining up a campaign. Ms. Finley's entry would raise the prospect of federal Conservatives from Ontario squeezed between two power couples.

"Talk about the battle of the spouses," said one organizer who had been contacted by supporters of Ms. Finley.

Ms. Finley is not as well known in provincial party circles as are some federal MPs, but her status as an unscarred federal minister would make her a serious entry, the Tory said, and her husband's reputation as an effective campaign tactician would add organizing weight.
Clark goes on to note many Conservatives are fearful of endorsing a candidate, fearful of retribution from their powerful spouses.
Backing from figures such as Transport Minister John Baird and Health Minister Tony Clement, both former Ontario MPPs, could help sway party members.

Federal Conservatives might worry that their endorsement could put them on the wrong side of an Ottawa heavyweight, however.

Mr. Flaherty, as Finance Minister, can influence most public projects that an MP supports. At Human Resources, Ms. Finley has less cross-government sway, but as campaign manager, Mr. Finley makes key decisions over campaign strategy and resources that can affect a politician's re-election chances.

Well this is certainly beginning to shape up as an interesting race. Don't endorse Elliott and your riding might not get infrastructure projects. Don't endorse Finley and you might find your nomination in jeopardy or your next campaign starved of support for central. What fun.

Continuing the spouses theme, Elliott was in Ottawa last week for a meet and greet, and the invites rubbed at least one Conservative the wrong way.

The invitation came from Peterborough MP Dean Del Mastro. He wrote: “Our Finance Minister's significant other Christine Elliott … will be in town for a meet and greet.”

A senior provincial Tory said he didn't think it was such great strategy to promote Ms. Elliott, who is an accomplished lawyer, as the Finance Minister's “significant other.”

“She doesn't need to be running as Mrs. Flaherty. I think that is going to hurt her,” he said. He said she would want to try to shake off the federal Tory connections as the Harperites are not polling well in Ontario.

Interesting that shortly after Elliott visited Ottawa came word that Flaherty is renovating his Parliament Hill office this week:
While Flaherty vacations with his family during Parliament's break week, workers are patching and repainting his fourth floor offices.

They're also patching his carpet to repair damaged portions and installing new curtains, said Chisholm Pothier, spokesman for Flaherty.

Meanwhile, most of the contents of Flaherty's office are sitting in the corridor, just a few doors down from the offices of Liberal Opposition Leader Michael Ignatieff.

She must have nagged him to do some renos, right Steve?

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Thursday, March 19, 2009

Elections Canada and Saanich-Gulf Islands

Public Eye Online's Sean Holman reports on the latest from Elections Canada on the fallout from the last election in Saanich-Gulf Islands, where NDP supporters got phantom phone calls and a bevy of third-party advertising appeared, much of it with possible connections to a prominent Gary Lunn supporter:

Elections Canada has closed an investigation into mysterious phone calls encouraging Saanich-Gulf Island residents to vote for a candidate who dropped out of the campaign. But there's still a chance the agency could look into the controversy surrounding third party advertisers in that riding, Public Eye has learned.
(read more)
It's really ridiculous they weren't able to trace those phone calls. We'll see what, if anything, happens on the advertising front.
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Conservative senator blames Conservative MPs for poor Quebec results

I know schadenfreude is unbecoming, but this is just too delicious. One of Stephen Harper's newly appointed Conservative senators from Quebec, party bagman Leo Housakos, has a simple explanation for why the party did so poorly in Quebec the last election: the Conservative MPs and candidates just did a crap-ass job of campaigning.

An influential senator suggested his colleagues in the House of Commons performed poorly on the campaign trail last fall.

(snip)

``Many mistakes were made the last time. I also think our Quebec team _ our MPs _ did not deliver the goods the last time,'' Housakos said.

``That's a mistake we need to admit, and do a better job the next time.''

(snip)

Housakos said there have been many improvements since he joined the team upon becoming a senator in December.

``When I arrived I got feedback from many (riding) presidents who said, 'Listen, Leo, we're not happy. We're not involved.' But for the last two months they've been very involved,'' Housakos said in the interview Wednesday.

``We have a game plan for the organization. We have a game plan for the financing. We have more ministers visiting Montreal. . .

``Things are starting to move. People see it. Yesterday, at the cocktail I had three riding presidents _ you can call each of them _ and they said, 'It's excellent _ since your arrival, since Christmas, things are moving.' ''
So in addition to having a very poor opinion of his colleagues, the unelected Housakos also has a very high opinion of himself.

Naturally, Housakos' elected colleagues fired back, begging to differ with the Senator regarding their level of suckiness:
Public Works Minister Christian Paradis called it a ``hasty judgment.''

``Our colleagues gave their 200 per cent,'' Paradis told The Canadian Press in an interview.

``Leo wasn't even there _ so, frankly. . . He was not a candidate, not in the organization, he wasn't involved.''

They gave 200 per cent Christian, really? Maybe 300 per cent next time then, perhaps that's the lesson. Better make it 350 per cent just to make sure. And yeah, Leo wasn't even there helping!

Of course, the senator is employing the blame the media defence. You know, for reporting the stupid crap that spews from his mouth:
Housakos sent colleagues a letter Thursday declaring his remarks had been taken out of context.

In his letter, Housakos said he'd merely told a Canadian Press reporter that he had not been involved in last year's campaign because he held a non-partisan position at Via Rail at the time.

He also said he told the reporter that there was a good feeling within the party, which was due to the ``excellent work'' of Paradis and Claude Durand, the party's director of operations in the province.

Housakos said he would never blame any individual or group for the failure to gain seats in Quebec.
But wait, there's a tape!
But a tape recording of Housakos's 10-minute interview Wednesday contains no reference to either Via Rail, Paradis or Durand.
Duh! Sorry Leo, try again.

But seriously though, I think Leo is wrong. Their Quebec troubles in the last election aren't because their candidates didn't give a gazillion per cent effort. I'm sure they did fine.

No, the responsibility for their Quebec showing resides squarely in the Prime Minister's Office. A PMO that was completely tone-deaf to the impact their culture cuts and youth crime rhetoric would have in Quebec. A PMO so centrist and controlling that it either ignored the concerns about it expressed by their Quebec MPs and advisers or had created such a toxic environment they were afraid to speak-up and contradict The Centre.

I'm sure Christian wouldn't say this, he likes his job.And Leo wouldn't bite the hand that sent him to patronage heaven. But don't blame the Conservative MPs and candidates. Blame Stephen Harper

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More on the Quebec scene

Raymond Giroux pens a column in le Soleil today looking at the federal political scene in Quebec today that makes a number of interesting observations. (Translation here)

He makes a number of observations about the deline of Conservative fortunes in Quebec and says they've been hindered by the preception in Quebec that they've moved to the right, while the Liberals have been aided by being precieved as in the centre. He also says Ignatieff has managed to move past his prior position on the Iraq war in Quebec, although his strong support for oil sands workers has raised some eyebrows.

After Denis Coderre's comments the other day, I was also though pleased to see Giroux and University of Sherbrooke political scientist Jean-Herman Guay advise the Liberls to court the federalist vote in Quebec:

There is a market for federalist votes in Quebec, and Michael Ignatieff employs default, said political scientist Jean-Herman Guay.

(snip)

If Mr. Ignatieff was the first to propose the recognition of the Quebec nation, it speaks a lot today. My theory is that it must gather the votes federalist, and is hopelessly sovereignists sheet.

Jean Chrétien did the same, and the Liberals seemed on track to win the war of attrition against the Bloc arises when the sponsorship scandal.

Giroux does end with a note of caution though, saying Stéphane Dion was hurt by his continual propping-up of the Harper government, and Ignatieff must be careful to avoid that mistake. A very valid point. I don't think we're there yet though. But the clock is ticking.

Is it too easy for Ignatieff to be gaining support though, Giroux asks much as Yaffe did, without putting forward much in the way of a policy program? Perhaps. But as the oft repeated truism goes, governments defeat themselves. Best to just stay out of their way and let them.

_____
**Help send a BCer to BC for the Liberal convention. (Link is working again) Your support greatly appreciated.

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Yaffe: nearly a quarter of NDP voters are now supporting Ignatieff's Liberals

A column from the Vancouver Sun's Barbara Yaffe today that discusses the recent Angus Reid polling numbers and paints a dire picture for the NDP, and highlights positive growth for the Liberals. It's news many of my NDP friends will likely dismiss as biased corporate media nonsense Liberals bad yada yada, thus compounding the trend. An attitude I'm fine with, incidentally.

Polls show the NDP's loss in popularity is the Liberals' gain

Party's surge is hard to explain, given that Michael Ignatieff has yet to put forward a vision of where he'd take the country

By Barbara Yaffe, Vancouver Sun March 19, 2009 1:08 AM

Federal New Democrats need to find some way to get their mojo back.

As Canadians adjust to a new political map featuring reinvigorated Liberal leadership, it is becoming clear that the big losers are New Democrats, although Conservatives also should be looking over their shoulders.

Not only are Liberals -- with Michael Ignatieff at the helm -- stealing support from the left-wing party, but a just-released Angus Reid poll suggests, at a time of financial crisis, Canadians don't believe the NDP has the answers.

Only 13 per cent of 1,002 poll respondents believe Jack Layton "can manage the economy effectively."

The party no doubt was discredited by its January decision to reject the Harper government's stimulus budget before it was even presented.
(read more)
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**Help send a BCer to BC for the Liberal convention. Your support greatly appreciated.

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Wednesday, March 18, 2009

Send a BCer back to BC, if only temporarily

I hope you'll forgive me if I digress from regularly scheduled programming to make a shameless pitch for your support and assistance.

As you know the Liberal convention is coming up next month in my home province, Beautiful British Columbia. I've been elected as a delegate, and I'd like to go. There's much to do, from not electing a leader to not talking about policy as much as we'd like.

But seriously, I've never been a delegate to one of these things before and I'd like to go and make my voice heard by voting and speaking as well as just complaining online. There is still lots of policy to be passed, executive positions to elect, and constitutional reforms to consider, and I'd like to be there as a voting delegate to speak and vote for the issues around party reform and grassroots empowerment I've long been blogging and kvetching about.

It is an expensive proposition though, with a delegate fee of $995, plus air fare and accommodations. I've joined the Laurier Club at the under age 35 rate so that has cut my delegate fee down to $445, and I'd appreciate any support my loyal readers would like to give in helping me with the rest of that fee.

You can make a donation towards my delegate fee online through the Liberal Party at this link. It will count as a donation to the Liberal Party of Canada and so is tax deductible, meaning by tax time a donation of $50 could cost you as little as $12.50.

But besides tax receipts, I promise wall-to-wall blogging coverage of Liberal Convention 2009. (You can read my 2006 coverage here). From the cut and thrust of the policy drama to the non-stop excitement of constitutional amendments. And perhaps more importantly, detailed reports on which hospitality suites have the best food and drink. I've also picked-up one of those Flip video cameras, so watch for video reports from the convention as well.

So I won't pester you fine folks again, but any and all support you'd be willing to offer to help send a homesick BCer back to BC, even if it's only for a few days, would be greatly appreciated.

Thanks very much!

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Will Steve Harper bail-out the National Post?

With all the National Post has done for the Conservative movement since 'ol Conrad Black set up shop in Don Mills, a government bail-out would be the least Stephen Harper's Conservatives could do:

The Harper government is considering help for Canada's troubled private TV broadcasters, including looser regulations and tax changes.

In an interview today with The Canadian Press, Heritage Minister James Moore says the government is looking at how to assist CanWest Global, which is teetering on the edge of bankruptcy.

He suggests the help could come in the form of loosened regulations and changes to the tax system, which would also help other private networks.

CanWest, CTVglobemedia and Quebecor have all been lobbying Prime Minister Stephen Harper and his cabinet for assistance.

And wait! What's this?
CanWest hired a former senior adviser to Harper to help with its lobbying efforts.

Quick, to the lobbyist registry! And I'm sure they've waited-out the mandatory cooling off period, right?

So, public assistance for the private media, courtesy Steve Harper's Conservatives. How do you like them apples, CBC?

UPDATE: According to the lobbyist registry, CanWest has no currently registered external lobbyists, but does have a number of internal staff registered to lobby on its behalf. Among them is Charlotte Bell, the vice-president of regulatory affairs, television and radio for CanWest Media Works, whom you may recall caused a little kerfuffle when she was involved in organizing a fundraiser for then Conservative heritage minister Bev Oda:

Heritage Minister Bev Oda has cancelled a fundraising event after critics attacked the fact that it was organized by a woman who lobbies her department.

Charlotte Bell, the vice-president of regulatory affairs, television and radio for CanWest Media Works, had been helping organize the fundraiser to re-elect Ms. Oda, bringing about opposition claims that the Conservatives were not acting as ethically as promised when it comes to corporate influence in politics.

Ms. Oda's spokesman, Chisolm Pothier, said she and Ms. Bell are old friends and the fundraiser was an annual event dating back to Ms. Oda's days in opposition.

"The minister was not aware Charlotte Bell was registered to lobby Canadian Heritage," he said. "To avoid any negative perception, she decided to cancel the event."
However, I don't think she was ever a "senior Harper adviser" though. And none of the other listed internal registered lobbyists appear to have held a "public office."

So the question remains, just who is this former "senior Harper adviser" that CanWest hired to lobby the government to help it stave off bankruptcy, and why aren't they listed in the registry?

Not to mention, of course, why help private broadcasters but tell the CBC to sink or swim?

UPDATE 2.0: More from impolitical.

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The sovereigntists, Denis Coderre, Michael and me

Back when we were going to have a real-live leadership race, and I was trying to decide who to support, if there was one concern I had about supporting Michael Ignatieff it was his past positions on Quebec issues, and his Quebec organization.

I disagreed vehemently with Michael’s handling of and position on the Quebec as a nation issue during the last leadership race. I felt it was empty symbolism that would only raise artificial expectations amongst sovereigntists we weren’t prepared to meet while, in the end, solving nothing.

And as a Stéphane Dion supporter, I was (and am), frankly, pissed off at what I viewed as an at least Ignatieff-sympathetic Quebec Liberal organization that, at best, sat on its hands while Dion tried to rebuild the party following his leadership win. His lackluster performance as defence critic aside, the fact Denis Coderre refused to serve as Quebec lieutenant when Dion asked was appalling.

In the end, I decided the nation thing seemed like a dead issue, that overall Michael was the best choice for leader, and that it wouldn’t be fair to hold him responsible for the actions of those who have supported him in the past.

So, needless to say, I read this news with interest:

Michael Ignatieff's Quebec lieutenant says he is wooing disaffected sovereigntists and members of the stumbling Action democratique du Québec to the federal Liberal fold for the next election.

Liberal MP Denis Coderre said Monday that he has had talks with "fatigued" sovereigntists about possibly running for the Liberals in the next federal election. However, he would not identify those to whom he has spoken.

Members of the provincial ADQ, which has been reduced to third place in the legislature and is searching for a new leader, are also being courted.
While I’m certainly not ready to say this is troubling, I think it does bear watching. And it does cause me worry of backsliding to a Martin/Lapierre-style approach to Quebec that crashed and burned spectacularly.

If Coderre is going to be bringing in “fatigued sovereigntists” and former ADQers I’ll just say I hope they’re vetted very closely. Frankly, the ADQ has advocated some troubling policies and has attracted some questionable characters.

If there is real, honest support to be found there for the Liberal Party, people who have come to a federalist position, and support the principles of the Liberal Party, than so be it. I’m all for reaching out, and I’ll give Denis the benefit of the doubt as I watch with a wary eye.

But before we go too far down this road, let’s remember the history here. It’s a history of failure.

Brian Mulroney brought in Lucien Bouchard, we all know how that turned out. Martin and Lapierre failed. The Conservatives tried this approach too, compete with the BQ for soft-nationalists. It worked for the short-term but they couldn’t keep up with the rising price, and now they’re in a shambles in Quebec. The NDP is playing in this sandbox too, and it hasn't gotten them anywhere.

The Liberal Party should and must be the federalist champion. The unapologetic defender of a strong and united Canada. The party of the Clarity Act. The party that, while respecting provincial jurisdictions, believes in an activist federal government that uses its resources and powers to drive national interests, priorities and programs.

Anyone who is comfortable in that Liberal Party is cool with me.

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Tuesday, March 17, 2009

Meet your Liberal election readiness chairs

Via Sean Holman at Public Eye Online comes word today of the new Liberal election readiness co-chairs.

The full list is on the Liberal site, but the National chairs are Senator David Smith, Marcelle Mersereau, Rémi Bujold and Anne McLellan. The BC chairs are Jatinder Rai, Sharon Apsey, Andrew Wilkinson and Senator Larry Campbell as "leader's outreach coordinator." And in Ontario, it's Brenda Kurczak, Jeff Kehoe and Chris Koddermann.

Lots of lawyers and lobbyists, as far as I can tell. Some of the numbers are interesting. Three for BC (four if you count Larry) and Ontario but just one for Quebec? Speaking of Quebec, I do have some thoughts on Denis Coderre's musings the other day I'll share some time soon.

Anyway, there's the list. Thoughts?

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Put down the pitchforks, Goodyear isn't a creationist

Stop the presses! Gary Goodyear our science minister speaketh, and hopefully endeth this brouhaha of the past few days:

OTTAWA — Canada's Science Minister has cut short a brewing controversy over his views on evolution.

Gary Goodyear raised eyebrows when he refused to tell The Globe and Mail newspaper if he believes in the science of evolution.

But the Minister of State for Science and Technology flatly said today that he does indeed believe in evolution.

Mr. Goodyear said he refused to answer the Globe question because it was “irrelevant” and his beliefs have nothing to do with government policy.

And so now we can all sleep a little better at night.

But seriously, here's my two cents. Were Goodyear not the science minister, I could care less about his personal beliefs on creationism vs. evolution. Were he defence minister it would be irrelevant. But he's science minister, so his views on basic scientific theories and what not are absolutely in bounds. I think it's lame for him to blame the reporter. From my reading of the interview he walked into it and then flubbed the answer, so it was bad comms by Goodyear. But good comms to come out now and hopefully put this thing to bed.

Let me say this though. There was absolutely room for legitimate criticism and debate here following the initial comments. But with respect to my "progressive" friends and colleagues, there's a way to raise the legitimate issues without being insulting and rude. The flinstones stuff and other jokes were unnecesary. We're supposed to be better than that.

While I do find creationism baffling, I respect people's rights to their own beliefs. I just expect my science minister to side with science, and apparently he does, so that's that.

UPDATE: Or maybe he doesn't. Read the comments. Whatever he believes or doesn't, he's doing a crap-ass job of handling this thing.

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GritGirl vid: The Harper Conservative's Massive Deficit

Newest video from the infamous GritGirl is up, entitled The Harper Conservative's Massive Deficit.



BTW, while it's a good ad and I love the ominous music, fact is all parties had agreed a deficit of some sort was needed and unavoidable. Now the size of the deficit, and where its spent, those are other matters.

But really, since when did fairness have a place in political ads? The Conservatives continually and deliberately misled Canadians and perpetuated falsehoods in their TV advertising. So they're in no position to kcetch. I say, you go GritGirl!

*Is the grammatical error in the title the innocent mistake of a basement amateur videographer, or an intentional and deliberate Machavelian-inspired error hatched via focus group to give the appearance of amateurishness? We may never know.

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Policy and the Liberal convention: Critics missing the real controversy

Following an article on Monday’s Hill Times with a slightly misleading lede, a number of bloggers yesterday either chortled with glee (my dipper friends) or shook their heads in anger that apparently the upcoming Liberal policy convention would feature no policy:

The federal Liberals will hold a major policy convention in early May, but they are refusing to discuss policy ideas and say they are avoiding making any policy suggestions that the governing Conservatives can copy in the next election.

They say they are keeping their still-developing campaign platform top secret in order to keep the focus squarely on the government amidst the rapidly deteriorating economy.

"What your policies are going to be in an election are announced just before you go into it. You don't want to provide an opportunity for target practice in the meantime," said Liberal Senator David Smith, one of four national campaign co-chairs charged with preparing the party for the next election.
There’s an important distinction here that the Hill Times failed to make, leading to confusion. There’s a difference between the policy platform a part runs in during an election and the policy that comes out of policy conventions.

The Hill Times reporter confused people by mentioning the convention. What Senator Smith, and indeed most of the article, talks about is the party platform. This is being developed by Navdeep Bains on behalf of Michael Ignatieff. Parties don’t generally release their electoral platforms months in advance of an election. Well, Stephane Dion released a (green) chunk of his, and it didn’t work out too well. But have the Conservatives released their platform for the next election? Have the NDP? Of course not. So let’s not go crazy here.

There will still be policy discussed and passed at the convention. But the fact is (and this is a whole other post and debate) the policy passed through the convention process rarely, if ever, makes it into the campaign platform. It’s generally passed, and then rarely heard of again. There are exceptions, of course. During the Paul Martin government, an anti-missile shield policy passed at convention greatly influenced Martin’s decision on that issue.

But by and large, convention policy is ignored by the party leadership. The same goes for the Conservative Party. It could also hold true for the NDP, I don’t know. But then they’ve never been overly concerned with pragmatic, electable policy at the leadership or grassroots levels, so maybe not.

The real convention policy controversy

There is a policy-related controversy brewing around the Vancouver convention though I touched on a few weeks ago that was missed by the Hill Times and the others. And it involves a sharp curtailment of the say grassroots Liberals will have in what policies end-up getting passed at convention.

Usually, at convention various workshops discuss all the policies in a given area (say, environment) and prioritize which ones will get sent to the plenary for debate and then a vote to be adopted as party policy.

This year, rather than have workshop the process has been moved online. A debate has been occurring on all the policies on En Famille, the Liberal members-only intranet site. That aspect is good; widening the field of people able to participate from just those able to attend convention is a positive step.

But while grassroots Liberals will get to debate online, they won’t get a vote on which resolutions get prioritized and sent to plenary. Not a vote that counts anyway – that’s restricted to riding presidents, a far more elite and restrictive group then if we’d stuck with the usual convention process.

It seems there’s been a battle going on within the party over the policy process. Initially, the party wanted to give the vote to riding and commission presidents only, who would supposedly consult their constituencies first.

There was push back to the narrowing of this power to such an elite group. While opening the vote to all would lead to some legitimate issues, a compromise was proposed: let all elected convention delegates and ex-officios vote online through En Famille. This was rejected by the LPC policy executive.

Instead, right now any party member can vote for policy prioritization through En Famille. You have until tonight at midnight, although you wouldn’t know unless you happened to check the site. Thing is though, the vote is completely non-binding. The riding presidents and commission presidents still have the REAL vote, the only vote that counts. They’ll be informed of the En Famille results before they vote but let’s be serious; they’re going to vote however they want to vote.

Is this going to be the Liberal version of grassroots empowerment? We give the membership an online forum where they can talk policy until they’re blue in the face and feel like they’re doing something, while at the same time we restrict the real decision-making power to an even narrower group of elites then held it before?

That’s a step backward, not a step forward. The gap between the rhetorical promise and the actual implementation is so wide you could drive a truck through it.

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Sunday, March 15, 2009

Why the Conservatives really fired nuclear watchdog Linda Keen?

When the Conservatives sacked Nuclear Safety Commission head Linda Keen it seemed it all had to do with nuclear safety and medical isoptopes. Keen was erring on the side of safety by ordering the Chalk River reactor shut down for safety reasons, the government wanted her to ignore the safety concerns to ensure the continued production of isotopes, required for many important medical procedures. She refused to back down, and she was canned.

That's a disturbing enough story, but Greg Weston reports in the Sun today there may have been even more to it:

When the Conservative government fired the country's nuclear watchdog last year, a few well-connected lobbyists toasted her demise as a victory potentially worth millions to their clients.

(snip)

But behind the scenes, industry insiders say lobbyists had long been trying to get rid of Keen for reasons that had nothing to do with medicine. Their clients were companies that stand to make huge money from the next generation of Canadian nuclear power reactors called the Advanced Candu, or ACR-1000. Rightly or wrongly, it seems, the iron-fisted Keen was getting in the way.

Playing games with nuclear safety in the name of medical isoptopes isn't a decision I'd make, but you could make a case. But potentially playing games with nuclear safety so well-connected lobbyists can line their pockets? That is completely unacceptable.

Cathie has more.

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Saturday, March 14, 2009

Ignatieff woos Francophones, will reinstate Court Challenges Program

LeDroit reports on interim Liberal leader Michael Ignatieff's efforts to reach out to the Francophone and Acadian communities, reporting on a recent speech to the Francophone community in Emburn, Ontario where he promised to reinstate the Court Challenges Progam cancelled by the Conservatives.

Here's the original article in French and here's a Google Translate version in English, which incidentally, while certainly not perfect, seems to do a far better job than Babelfish.

Judging by those polling numbers yesterday that show the Liberals taking ground from the Conservatives in Quebec, pushing them to a distant third, his effors may be working.

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How many Stephen Harpers are there?

Could Stephen Harper's seeming lack of personality be caused by the fact he is spreading his (already severely limited) charm and wit amongst multiple different Stephen Harpers?

I think I may be onto something here. It's like making a photocopy of a photocopy. Just ask the Asgard. Or those aliens that tried to clone Commander Riker. You can only make so many copies before the quality becomes crap.

So far, I've counted at least eight different Stephen Harpers.

There's the Harper that says one thing when speaking to a wide Canadian audience:

The marquee speech Canadians saw on television Tuesday or read about the next day was about how the economy would recover swiftly and strongly through targeted spending in the budget.
And there's the Harper that takes another tone entirely with his fellow conservative diehard true believers:
In a recording obtained by The Canadian Press, Harper goes after the Liberals in a election-campaign style attack, saying the current situation would be much worse had they been in power.

"Imagine the stance Canada would have taken when Hezbollah and Hamas terrorists attacked Israel. Imagine how many Liberal insiders and ideologues would be now in the Senate, the courts and countless other federal institutions and agencies – I should say, how many more," Harper said to laughter.

The Harper that praises Barrack Obama and mugs with him for photos:

"President Obama and I agree that Canada and the United States must work closely to counter the global economic recession by implementing mutually beneficial stimulus measures and by supporting efforts to strengthen the international financial system," Harper said.

"We concur on the need for immediate concerted action to restore economic growth and to protect workers and families hit hardest by the recession."

And the Harper that rudely attacks the popular president of our largest trading partner:
He twice pointed disdainfully to tax hikes U.S. President Barack Obama introduced for the highest tax brackets.

Harper urged the crowd not to "forget that Conservatives being in power has made an enormous difference."
---

Harper said only true conservatism could turn the economy around, and pointed to the U.S. as having abandoned those values.

"We are in a global recession principally – and we have to face this – because a lot of people on Wall Street, because a lot of people in the private sector more generally – homeowners or consumers – pushed or bought into a very unconservative idea that they could live beyond their means," he said.

Harper appeared critical of Obama's stimulus package, which raises taxes on earnings of more than $250,000 a year, adding that Canadians could have expected nothing less from the Liberals.

"They didn't tell you the taxes they would raise – we are seeing that in the States now – but they wouldn't have brought in any tax reductions at all."

There's the Harper that says one thing to English Canada:
Then Harper, unaccountably and most irresponsibly, poured more oil on the fire in his address to the nation Wednesday night. Four times, he referred to "the separatists," as in "this is no time for backroom deals with the separatists."

And another Harper that says something different to Quebec:
In the French version of the tape, he referred to them by the kinder, gentler term of les souverainistes, and of course got caught out on it within minutes. Never has a prime minister turned a state occasion such as an address to the nation to such a blunt partisan purpose. Harper's five-minute address was totally inadequate and completely tone-deaf, lacking any admission that everyone could learn something from this, beginning with himself.
The Harper that decries Keynesian stimulus and deficit financing:
"Minority governments show no particular tendency to fiscally irresponsible behaviour, contrary to some theoretical predictions."

"A general observation would be that, while there is no evidence of a 'chronic deficit' tendency in Canada historically, neither is it clear how such a problem is resolved once it occurs."

"The record indicates that particularly activist Keynesian policy has been rare in the postwar period. The results indicated that it should remain so."
And the Harper that embraces it whole-hog:
It's official: the days of big bad budget deficits are back.

The Harper government declared Thursday that it will run deficits for up to five years, including a massive $64-billion shortfall over the next two. A senior official said next week's federal budget will forecast a $34-billion deficit for 2009-2010 and a further shortfall of $30 billion the year after.

It's a startling about-face from just two months ago when the government forecast a surplus in its fall economic statement.

That's a lot of Harper personalities. No wonder the quality seems rather faded. I can see why he sued the Liberals for misappropriation of personality. He's spread pretty thin.

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Friday, March 13, 2009

The video CTV (and maybe the Conservatives too) didn't want you to see

Earlier in the day I, and many other bloggers, posted the latest video offering from GritGirl, called Harper's Friday the 13th. It quickly was pulled offline by YouTube however, with a message the video was removed because of a copyright claim by CTV/Bell Globe Media, as the video used a clip from CTV's coverage of a recent Stephen Harper speech.

One wonders if perhaps Conservative Senator Mike Duffy fired up the 'ol BlackBerry from the Senate floor and fired off a PIN to his old friends at the network.

Anyway, they should have known better than to think they could keep theGritGirl down. She has replaced the CTV clip and is back online with the video that CTV, and I'd bet their friends in the Conservative Party as well, didn't want you to see:

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Liberals, Tories in dead heat: poll

I'm just out the door for an evening of root beer and merry making so I've no time to crunch and analyze these numbers. Instead, I'll just push these hot of the press CP-Harris Decima polling numbers that just crossed my desk out to you to chew over and analyze, and perhaps I'll chime in later.

Here's the CP story:

Liberals, Tories in dead heat: poll
Source: The Canadian Press

Mar 13, 2009 16:46


OTTAWA _ A new poll suggests the federal Liberals and Conservatives are in a dead heat _ but Tory support is dropping in some p
arts of the country and among women.

The Canadian Press Harris-Decima survey put the Liberals at 33 per cent and the Conservatives at 32.


The NDP was at 14 per cent, the Greens at 10, and the Bloc Quebecois at nine.


It suggests the Tories trail the Liberals by five percentage points among women overall and by 12 points among urban women.


The Conservatives have also seen their support plum
met in Quebec, leaving them in a distant third place.

The Liberals were ahead in Ontario, where NDP sup
port has sagged into a low-teens tie with the Greens. The telephone poll of 2,000 people was conducted Feb. 26 to March 8, and is considered accurate to within 2.2 percentage points 19 times out of 20.
Here's a link to the PDF with the juicy goodies from Decima.

And here's a chart with lots of red:


My quick thoughts? If we're getting women back that's good, we lost them to the Conservatives in the last election and it really hurt us. I hope the signs of Liberal recovery in BC hold. I like that we're gaining from the Conservatives in Quebec. And what up with the NDP only at 13, tied with the Greens, in Ontario? Overall results that mirror previous recent polls, and not bad from a Liberal perspective at all.

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The next MLA for Comox Valley, Don McRae

Congratulations to Courtenay city councilor Don McRae, who last night won the BC Liberal nomination for my home riding back in BC, Comox Valley.

Don has been an effective city councilor and will be going up against the NDP’s Leslie McNabb in the May 12 provincial election to fill the seat that was held by the late Stan Hagen, who held a number of senior cabinet posts under Gordon Campbell and sadly succumbed suddenly to cancer earlier this year.

Courtenay Coun. Don McRae will be looking for a new hat in the coming months, with his win last night of the BC LIberal nomination for May's provincial election.

"Obviously, very happy about the outcome, and about the months to come," said McRae, talking about his third-ballot win Thursday night.

With the sudden passing of long-time MLA Stan Hagen in January, the candidacy in the local riding was left wide open. Along with McRae, B.C. Shellfish Growers' Association executive director Roberta Stevenson, Salvation Army Community Services Director Shawn Wilson and local Habitat for Humanity founder Jon Toogood put their names forward.

I was a high school student at GP Vanier Secondary School in Courtenay when Don began his career there as a social studies teacher. I was never in one of his classes but he’s a good guy that was popular with the students, and I like the idea of potentially having someone in the legislature with a little social studies knowledge. (Even though we really need good social studies teachers in the classroom now more than ever.)

So, good luck to Don in the upcoming election. It should be a very interesting race. There is recent NDP history in the riding under Margaret Lord and Evelyn Gillespie. Hagen, who had the keys to a powerful Socred electoral machine (lent to John Duncan over the years), was pretty popular in the community, and barely held the riding in 2005 over the NDP’s Andrew Black.

Don brings obviously some profile as a multi-term city councilor, and hopefully will inherit the keys to Hagen’s election machine. I really don’t know anything about the NDP candidate, except she worked in the forestry industry. I do know that 585 people voted in the Liberal nomination vs. 128 in the NDP nomination, for whatever that’s indicative of. Maybe grassroots energy, maybe nothing much. The NDP had a strong union machine in the Comox Valley, but I'm not sure what shape it's in these days.

I think it’s anybody’s election at this point. The economy and jobs are obviously going to be the key issues. The Comox Valley is going through tough times. We still have CFB Comox as a major employer, but we were forestry and resource-dependent for years and that’s obviously drying-up. That leaves us with tourism and little else, and tourism is hard to rely on. Homelessness and crime are increasing problems, and symptomatic of the larger jobs issues.

I’ll try to keep an eye on the race from afar.

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Electronics recycling fees come to Ontario April 1st

I don't usually reference stories I write for my day job on my blog, but I did want to make an exception because this is a story that the mainstream media seem to have largely missed. And if you're considering buying a computer or television in Ontario in the next little while, you'll want to know about it :

As of April 1st, most electronics products, from computers and monitors to peripherals, sold in Ontario will accrue a recycling fee that VARs and resellers will need to pass on to their customers, and may need to collect, report and remit to Ontario Electronic Stewardship (OES), the organization responsible for implementing the Waste Electrical and Electronic Equipment (WEEE) Program Plan for the Ontario government.

The first phase of the WEEE program covers desktop computers, laptops, computer peripherals, monitors, televisions and printers, with fees ranging from $13.44 for a desktop computer to 32 cents for a computer mouse.

The article is written toward our computer reseller audience, but for consumers it means in Ontario, come April 1st, you'll be paying an extra $13.44 for a desktop computer and $10.07 for a TV. So, if you've been thinking of buying, you may want to buy before April 1st. (No joke, that's the implementation date.)

Or if you're near the border, shop in Quebec instead.

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On cults of personality, Canadian edition

Chantal Hebert has caught-on to the latest re-branding of The Harper Government™, noting the cult of personality they seem to be building on their new economic crisis Web site action centre thingy:

Its home page features no less than five pictures of Harper and he is sporting a different tie on four of them.

That's a good thing because very little else differentiates the pictures from each other and they take up most of the page.

Its focus is squarely on Harper as an action man rather than on the government's action plan and the rest of the website fully lives up to that advance billing.

In less politically mature countries, it could be construed as an effort to substitute a cult of the personality for solid policy dialogue. Here, it is just the latest silly production of a muddled Conservative brain trust.

Every link leads to more pictures of the Prime Minister.

On the page devoted to so-called real action, the government's web masters have actually managed to fit in a dozen postage-stamp-size shots of Harper.

It is not clear whether they were trying to draw a subliminal parallel between Harper's current travails and the 12 labours of Hercules or just trying to make sure no one was under the impression that someone else could single-handedly lead Canada out of the recession.

Myself, I prefer this more clever version of the Web site. (h/t knb)

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Parliamentary decorum and all that jazz

It was with a touch of amusement over the past few days that I’d ignored all the talk bemoaning the state of the decorum in parliament, the stories of teachers not wanting to bring their students to question period, and the admonishment of the speaker for everyone to behave themselves.

I was amused because parliament has always been like this. The speaker regularly stands up and goes tut tut, honourable colleagues, settle down now and what not. And then everyone goes right back to behaving badly. I’ve long since tuned it out, convinced this speaker (and his predecessors) have no real desire to raise the level of decorum on the house, and none of the parliamentarians particularly want to either, beyond feigning righteous indignation now and again.

So I was surprised, and pleasantly so, when I read that the speaker has actually found some backbone and has moved beyond semi-stern fatherly admonishments to real action, and is actually cutting-off MPs that step over the lines of decorum into personal attacks.

Speaker Peter Milliken cut off Tory MPs three times Thursday as they began taking shots at Liberal Leader Michael Ignatieff during member statements.

Milliken had already warned members that he was fed up with the proliferation of personal attacks in their statements ahead of the daily question period.

While all parties take pot-shots occasionally, the Conservatives have long been systematically attacking the Liberal leader in their statements.

Good on Peter Miliken, although it’s a seriously overdue move. We’ll see if it continues, or if this is an isolated thing.

On a semi-related matter though, this confuses me: just what is the point of the Conservatives using member’s statements to systematically attack the Michael Ignatieff, the Liberals, Warren Kinsella (other than discrediting Ignatieff by proxy), and so on? Here’s the unnamed Liberal sources’ theory:
Some Liberals say the Tories are doing by stealth in the Commons what they have been reluctant to do on the airwaves.

(snip)

But a senior Ignatieff strategist said he believes the attacks in the House are a precursor to negative ads: "We had sort of accepted [this] as the beginning of the ad campaign," said the strategist. "They have been using many of their [statements] to get personal and make outlandish statements and exaggerating little events to change the channel from the economic disaster. It's really childish, and serious people are fed up."

Negative ads coming, sure, I get that. But what’s the point of the member’s statements strategy? No one really pays attention to member’s statements. The media don’t generally report on them. Undecided voters sure don’t watch them on CPAC (or know where CPAC is on the dial). If it’s an appeal to their base, how is their base supposed to find out about it?

Harper’s chess playing has left me puzzled again, although I’m sure there is a master plan.

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(Video) Harper's Friday the 13th

The latest from GritGirl, who got a shout-out from Andrew Coyne during the At Issue panel last night on CBC's The National.



UPDATE! After a take-down order from CTV (wonder if Conservative Senator Mike Duffy made a phone call to his old friends at the network) theGritGirl is back online with the video they didn't want you to see.

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Thursday, March 12, 2009

(Video) Conservatives play political games with EI, Liberals don't read the fine print

Is it any wonder everyone thinks they're all a bunch of idiots up there in Ottawa? Given today's events, I don't think there is. Unfortunately, they're a bunch of idiots that control many billions in spending that can impact our lives for better or for worse, so we can't just ignore them.

In short, the Liberals agreed to bypass Senate hearings and pass the budget today, after before insisting pretty firmly we wanted to give the Senate a few days to do its sober second thought thing, because it turns out the Conservatives buried a provision in the fine-print around the effective date of the extension (by five weeks) to EI eligibility. Everything else in the budget comes into affect April 1st, but the EI changes come into affect retroactively two weeks BEFORE the budget is passed. Therefore, every day the budget isn't passed people fall off the EI roles that would otherwise get benefits.

The Liberals say we didn't notice this before, and that the Conservatives didn't bring it up until Jim Flaherty's Senate testimony this week and they were trying to set us up with political shenanigans. The Conservatives say they were totally talking about this all along, and the Liberals (and every other political party and the national media and the blogsphere and your mom) just never noticed.

First, let me just say this to my Liberal Party: WHY THE HELL DIDN'T YOU READ THE DAMMED BUDGET! I mean, really, what the hell guys? I mean, I know it's a thick document. Lots of fine print. But we know the Conservatives are sneaky-sneaks. Did no one read the dammed thing? I know finances are tight, but let's find a way to get “guy that reads the budget to check for sneaky Conservative shit” back on the payroll, k? Or maybe give everyone in the office a few pages so it goes faster. Order in some schwarma, make it a party. But really, you're killing me here guys.

Ok, done venting. Now, Conservative Party, you guys are so full of shit here it's ridiculous. Of course you buried it, hoping they wouldn't find it, so you could jump up and say “Ah Ha! Those dastardly Liberals are holding back EI from Canadians in need! They totally suck, and so forth!” You weren't clear about when the EI changes were coming into effect at all. If you were, someone would have noticed. Other parliamentarians, the media, anyone. They'd have been all over it. But no one did.

Not even your Senators. The Conservative Senate leadership agreed to a time line for Senate debate of the budget that included hearings this week and passage before the end of the month.

Why, pray tell why, would the Conservative Senate leadership agree to this time line if they knew it would deprive Canadians of five weeks of EI benefits? Did they just not care? Were they setting up the Liberals, hoping they'd take the bait so you could then blame them for obstruction, so you could score political points at the expense those EI benefits? Or did you just not tell your Senators this was in the budget either?

And why set this sort of time frame for bringing the EI changes into effect, which is completely out of precedent with normal procedure, unless you're screwing around? Using the EI eligibility of millions of Canadians during an economic crisis as a political football to try to either tar your political opposition or force them to ram through billions in needed stimulus is disgusting. It is patently obvious that the Harper Conservatives have learned nothing from the fiscal update brouhaha. Clearly, political gamesmanship remains more important to The Harper Government then bringing Canadians the help they need.

When finally clued-in to the Conservative EI trap, the Liberals had little choice but to skip the hearings and pass the thing forthwith. We'd already passed it through the House, and it was going to pass the Senate as well. It's far from a perfect budget -- I'm upset with a lot of the provisions – but this is an economic crisis and this is stimulus that Canadians want and need.

The Liberals decided to support this imperfect budget because, thanks to the pressure of the opposition parties, it is substantially improved from the economic update. Also, Canadians don't want an election right now. They want action on the economy, and they want all the parties to make a good faith effort to work together. The Liberals have been making that good faith effort, and the Conservatives have responded with political games.

Now, though, that this budget has passed and this needed stimulus should be on its way to Canadians, my patience with these Conservatives and their political games is running extremely thin. I think Canadians' patience is wearing thin too.

Read more at Impolitical and Liberal Arts and Minds.



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Peter MacKay, our face to the world?

While I still really don’t think there’s a snowball’s chance on Kandahar of Peter MacKay being tapped as the next NATO chieftain, with US VP Joe Biden supposedly stumping for him I suppose I need to take it at least semi-seriously.

While I really don’t think it should be Peter MacKay, I do think there’s no reason why a Canadian shouldn’t be given due consideration and no reason why there couldn’t be a Canadian in the NATO post.

The commonly-held view is that a Canadian could never hold the top NATO post, for reasons of geography. The NATO military head is usually a US general and so the NATO civilian head must be a European. So fairness supposedly dictates, and so the tradition has been.

That’s all well and good, but what about Canada? Why, for reasons of geography, should Canada be excluded from playing a leading role in NATO, an organization that we have made a major commitment to since its founding? We had a substantial military presence in France and Germany during the Cold War (and by the way US, we left when it was over) committed to NATO. We’ve been a strong contributor to NATO missions over the years. Most notably, the current Afghan mission, where we’re punching substantially above our weight with the largest commitment after the US and the UK.

So, absolutely, a Canadian should be considered a serious contender for the NATO role. To exclude us for reasons of politics and geography is insulting and unacceptable.

That said, Peter MacKay? I’d like to think we could do better. His record as defence minister hardly inspires faith in his competence for the position, which will require the incumbent to deal with some major challenges, such as getting more support for the Afghan mission, NATO expansion in EasternEurope, and an annoyed Russia.

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Wednesday, March 11, 2009

Rebranding 2.0: Canada's New Government becomes "The Harper Government"

This government is going through branding monikers nearly as quickly as the artist formerly known as the symbol formerly and once again known as Prince. I think, I lost track at some point.

With Canada's New Government being somewhat out of date now, and with most of my suggestions for them being unprintable on a family blog, it appears they've settled on a new moniker: The Harper Government.

I like it: direct, succinct, to the point, and it has the added benefit of being absolutely correct. This is Harper's government. He calls the shots. He writes his own speeches (except for this one by John Howard). We 're just lucky enough to live here. The cabinet is only window-dressing.

And it's his $3 billion slush fund, and he can spend it however he wants, minimal accountability and checks and balances be dammed!


I remember back when it was Canada's Government. Ah, for simpler times.

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Tuesday, March 10, 2009

(Video) Ignatieff: Harper is off on a Conservative planet in outer space

As promised earlier, video of Michael Ignatieff's scrum with reporters in response to Stephen Harper's big speech that he wrote all by himself.

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(Video) Jim Flaherty on the Recession

From whomever brought us Tory Times are Tough Times, it's Jim Flaherty on the Recession:

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Ignatieff: Harper invents a coalition to fight against that coalition

Michael Ignatieff scrummed with reporters this afternoon. I'll get some video posted when I get home, but I have the transcript and I found this bit here both telling, and amusing. I wonder how you say "retarded" in French, and which reporter asked this question. Anyway, I liked the answer from Michael:

>> (Voice of translator): Why do you believe that the government is making the opposition look like it's retarded or that everything is --

>> Mr. Michael Ignatieff: (Voice of translator): Because Mr. Harper is a bipartisan politician. If there is no fight he is going to invent one. Since the end of January, I have worked to make the money come out of the government into the Canadian economy that it needs. That's the first thing. And then if there is no coalition, there is none, then he invents a coalition to fight against that coalition. That's Mr. Harper's style. That's all I can say.

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Bless you, David Akin

Hey, Joan Bryden! Go read David Akin. Right now.

The rest of you probably should too.

You're welcome.

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Ex-Gitmo guard speaks out in support of Omar Khadr

And still, Stephen Harper keeps his head in the sand on the Omar Khadr case:

In the aftermath of 9/11, when another attack on the United States was feared and war consumed Afghanistan and Iraq, the soldiers deployed to the military detention centre at Guantanamo Bay were told they were a vital part in the fight against terrorism in their role of guarding the "worst of the worst."

Terry Holdbrook was one of those soldiers, and one of the detainees he met soon after arriving in 2003 was Canadian Omar Khadr. Both teens – the American guard, 19, and the Canadian captive, 16 – talked easily about life.

"He was young, you could still feel that teenaged angst in him," Holdbrook told the Toronto Star from Phoenix, Ariz., where he works as a university enrolment counsellor.

"I kind of look at him as I look at a lot of the other detainees that were down there. He was kind of caught up in the wrong place at the wrong time."

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Polling polarization

I'll leave the in depth polling analysis to Steve, but looking at these Ipsos numbers I have to say what strikes me most is the sharp polarization of the regional numbers, and between the Conservatives and the Liberals.

Regionally, the Conservatives have huge leads from Manitoba east, while in Atlantic Canada the Liberals have a strong lead, in Quebec the BQ a strong lead over the Liberals (with the Conservatives well back) and in Ontario, the Liberals are opening-up a five point lead.

Nationally, the numbers are very tight at Conservatives 37 to Liberals 33 (and NDP 12). But seeing the support so divided along regional lines is troubling. I know Michael Ignatieff has been working on reaching-out to the West, and I don't take these numbers as a failure of that effort at all -- it's going to be a long term project -- but they should emphasize that the Liberal Party absolutely needs to make breaking into Western Canada a top priority.

The other polarization is between the two viable contenders for government: the Conservatives and the Liberals. The NDP seems to be falling off the radar as a viable option for most Canadians. Their 12 per cent national figure is very low, and the regionals offer them little room for hope. I'm particularly surprised by their distant third place showing in BC, where the provincial dippers have a decent shot at government in May.

I certaintly have my theories on the NDP numbers. Far from me to give them advice, they've made clear they don't want it. And it's not that hard to figure out anyways.

Anyway-ho, here's the numbers:

Ignatieff Liberals (33%) Continue to Edge Closer to Harper Conservatives
Grits (42%) Open a 5-Point Lead in Ontario over Tories (37%)

Attention: News Editor

TORONTO, ON--(Marketwire - March 10, 2009) - Toronto, ON - As politicians in Ottawa focus on how best to spend budgeted stimulus funds to help steer Canada out of an economic recession by creating jobs, a new Ipsos Reid poll of over 2,000 Canadians conducted on behalf of Canwest News Service and Global Television has revealed that Michael Ignatieff and his Liberal Party continue to make gains on Prime Minister Harper's Conservative Government.

If an election were held tomorrow, the Conservatives would receive support from 37% of decided voters (unchanged from early February), while the Liberals would receive 33% support, up 2 points nationally. While the Liberals continue to make steady gains since Mr. Ignatieff took over the helm of the party, Conservative support has flat-lined as they failed to receive a post Obama-visit gain in the polls just weeks after the American President's first official state-visit abroad.

The NDP would receive support from 12% of Canadians (down 2 points), while the Green Party would receive 8% of the vote (up 1 point). The Bloc is enjoying support from 10% of decided voters nationally (unchanged), or 41% in Quebec. Six percent (6%) remain undecided.

Support for the major parties varies by region, and it appears that gains in Ontario are driving the increase in support for the Liberals:

In seat-rich Ontario, the Liberals (42%) have opened up a 5-point lead over the Conservatives (37%), while the NDP (12%) and Greens (8%) are far behind.

In Quebec, the Bloc (41%) maintains a healthy lead over the Liberals (27%), while the Conservatives continue to trail off (16%). The NDP (10%) and Green Party (6%) lag.

In British Columbia, the Tories (50%) have a wide lead over the Grits (26%), NDP (14%), and Green Party (9%).

In Alberta, the Conservatives (70%) continue to paint the province blue, while the Liberals (15%), NDP (10%) and Green Party (6%) are well behind.

In Saskatchewan and Manitoba, the Conservatives have 49% support, followed by the Liberals (28%), NDP (16%) and Green Party (6%).

In Atlantic Canada, the Liberals (41%) are on top, followed by the Tories (29%), the NDP (17%) and the Green Party (12%).

These are the findings of an Ipsos Reid poll conducted February 24 to March 5, 2009 for Canwest News Service and Global Television. For the survey, a representative randomly selected sample of 2,002 adult Canadians was interviewed by telephone. With a sample of this size, the results are considered accurate to within ± 2.2 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, of what they would have been had the entire adult population of Canada been polled. The margin of error will be larger within regions and for other sub-groupings of the survey population. These data were weighted to ensure that the sample's regional and age/sex composition reflects that of the actual Canadian population according to Census data.

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Monday, March 09, 2009

On the Conservative, the arts and Quebec

It was Quebec that denied Stephen Harper's Conservatives his majority in the last election, and it was Conservative hostility towards and cuts to the arts that played a big factor in their poor showing in the province.

Lesson learned? We'll see, there has been some damage control done on the arts file by the government certainly, but I find this tweet from Canwest journalist David Akin to be possibly telling:

He posted an update a few minutes later:

So, at least the Conservatives have one French speaker there. Seems odd not to have a francophone Quebecer though. Given the obvious sensitivity of the issue in Quebec, and with Quebec artists testifying, you know there's going to be media play in Quebec tonight, so why not have someone there? Maxime Bernier is an associate committee member, he'd have done the trick.

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Saturday, March 07, 2009

Paging Elizabeth May to New Westminister-Coquitlam

Green Party leader Elizabeth May has pledged to run in the next available by-election in her ongoing quest to get into the House of Commons. Well, looks like Elizabeth should start packing her bags for British Columbia (h/t Devin):

A high-profile New Democratic Party MP is stepping down to seek a seat in the May 12 B.C. election, giving the minority Conservative government a chance to win back a swing riding.

Dawn Black, the NDP's defence critic, will resign her federal seat in New Westminster-Coquitlam shortly, she said. She is expected to run uncontested for the NDP nomination in the provincial riding of New Westminster.
Black's decision to leave Ottawa for what the Globe calls a “safe seat for the BC New Democrats” frees-up her federal seat, which is anything but safe for the NDP.

Indeed, it was held by Reform/Alliance/Conservative Paul Forseth since 1993 before Black took it by just under 3000 votes in 2006. And last fall, she barely squeaked-out a victory over Conservative Yonah Martin (now one of Harper's new Senators) by just 1488 votes. Liberal Michelle Hassen finished well back of the pair, and Green Party candidate Marshall Smith managed a respectable 7.2 per cent of the vote which is just above the party's national average of 6.8 per cent, but below their BC average of 9.4 per cent.

With Black leaving and Martin off to patronage heaven (hey, maybe she'll resign from the Senate and run for the seat? Don't hold your breath), both the NDP and Conservatives will have new candidates. Who both parties find to run for them will be very interesting. Hey, Paul Forseth is an active blogger, maybe he'll run again? Would be interesting.

While the Liberals haven't been a factor in this riding in years, they did make it interesting when former IWA boss Dave Haggard ran for the Liberals as one of Paul Martin's star candidates in 2004, finishing third but just 2600 votes back of the pack. If the Liberals can find a name, they could stir thing-up.

It's shaping-up as a real NDP-Conservative dog fight though, and if May does indeed fulfill her promise and contest this seat, it will be a very interesting wild card. While it's oversimplification to say the Greens draw more from the left than the right, in a race this tight, I'd have to say that with Black's departure there's a better than even chance for this seat to go Conservative. Particularly if there's any blowback against the NDP for Black's decision to resign just five months into her term.

We'll wait and see who all runs though before locking that in stone.

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Friday, March 06, 2009

(Video) Tory times are tough times -- Job losses under Stephen Harper

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Oh for god's sake, are you kidding me CP?

Usually, CP is a very competent journalistic organization. But they're pissing me off today. In addition to the piece I posted on earlier, they just moved this piece on the wire from the usually competent Joan Bryden:

Liberals stand down in election standoff (Fedbudget-Standoff)
Source: The Canadian Press
Mar 6, 2009 16:25

------------------------------
--------------------------------------------------

By Joan Bryden

THE CANADIAN PRESS

OTTAWA _ Liberals are standing down from an election standoff with the Harper government, insisting they want to compromise over measures to stimulate Canada's sputtering economy.

Ralph Goodale, the Liberal House leader, says his party is in discussions with the Conservatives in hopes of finding a compromise that will get money flowing quickly without sacrificing government accountability.

``We are not aiming to set up some phoney confrontation,'' Goodale said Friday. ``This is no time to have some parliamentary showdown.''

This headline and lead is absolute bullcrap. I defy Joan and the Canadian Press to show me just where, just how, the Liberals are supposedly backing down. Please, show me. Show me position A, position B, and the difference and how it's backing down.

I'll wait.

Here's how this week has gone:

*Liberals: We want this money to move, but there needs to be basic reporting. Are we threatening an election? We're not making threats or playing games, we're saying Harper needs to dampen down the rhetoric and sit down work with the opposition here to work this out.

*Conservatives: This means an election! You guys are holding-up this funding that Canadians need, its a confidence matter, election, RAWRRR!

*Liberals: We want this money to move, but there needs to be basic reporting. Are we threatening an election? We're not making threats or playing games, we're saying Harper needs to dampen down the rhetoric and sit down work with the opposition here to work this out.

*Media: Liberals are backing down from election threat, they want to work with the Conservatives, the Cons huffed and the Liberals bluffed.

Newsflash, CP: this has been the Liberal position ALL THE WAY ALONG! It hasn't changed since Michael Ignatieff's presser on Tuesday through today's comments from Goodale. They've been saying the SAME THING all along. So, again, how are they backing down exactly?

Go and watch the video of Ignatieff's presser again if you don't believe me. Here's a few highlights:
“We feel we cannot write a blank check on $3B of stimulus. We have to have some indications on what programs this is going to be spent on. We want accountability before we vote, and we want accountability after we vote…this is very basic stuff, this is how democracy works. The government has to respect how democracy works. We want accountability, and we’ll demand it.”

Q: Harper says if you guys don’t like it, we’ll see you at the polls. Do you take that threat seriously?

*Laughs* “I find this threatening stuff ridiculous. We had about three weeks of kind of the era of good feeling, we were all sort of post-partisan and making happy-talk, and suddenly we’re into threats and menaces and my way or the highway and all this junk that we had before Christmas. The PM has to understand he drove this parliament off the cliff before Christmas, he had to prorogue parliament with this kind of aggressive partisanship. We’re now in an economic crisis where he’s got to walk back down the hill and talk to me. I’m not writing a blank check on $3B. No Canadian would respect me if I did. So, we’ve got to talk. Why don’t we talk instead of threats and menaces and bluffs and all this kind of stuff. I want to do the job that Canadians want us to do…I don’t respond well to threats and I don’t write blank checks, so if he wants to solve this problem we’ve got to talk.
Now contrast this with what Goodale said today, which according to CP is some kind of major stand down from the earlier position:

Ralph Goodale, the Liberal House leader, says his party is in discussions with the Conservatives in hopes of finding a compromise that will get money flowing quickly without sacrificing government accountability.

"We are not aiming to set up some phoney confrontation," Goodale said Friday. "This is no time to have some parliamentary showdown."

...

But Goodale said they won't debate the motion or force a vote on it until late March, giving the sides several weeks to reach a compromise.

He also indicated the Liberals could amend or drop the motion altogether if the government comes up with some other way of assuring them that the fund wouldn't simply be a blank cheque.

"We have signalled to the government one way to do it. They may have other proposals to make. We'd be very interested to hear what their proposals are."

I ask you, where is the stand-down here? Tuesday, Ignatieff says we want accountability, we need to talk. Friday, Goodale says we want accountability, we're talking, and if they have better ideas for accountability, we're open to hearing them.

This is utterly ridulous. And you know what else is ridulous? CP allowing this blatant lie by the Prime Minister of Canada to go by unchallenged:

"But there is no excuse for an opposition that has been saying we need to deliver money more quickly to now say we need to delay that money or say things like we need to have parliamentary sign-off on every individual project. That is not realistic. It's not going to work that way."

The opposition has never said that. The Liberal motion calls for nothing of the sort. Stephen Harper is lying. For CP to give him a platform to out and out lie to the Canadian people without pointing out the utter inaccuracy of his statements is extemly irresponsible.

That's stenography, not journalism.

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Flaherty out

No, not Out of Ottawa. If only. Out of the race to replace John Tory as Ontario Progressive Conservative leader. Too bad, I'd have liked to see another Conservative MPP pressed to resign to give Flaherty a seat, so the Liberals would have a shot at another by-election seat.


Federal Finance Minister Flaherty has no aspiration to lead Ontario Tories (Flaherty-Tory)
Source: The Canadian Press
Mar 6, 2009 14:48

------------------------------
--------------------------------------------------

TORONTO _ Federal Finance Minister Jim Flaherty says he has no ambition to lead the Ontario Progressive Conservative party.

Flaherty said after a Toronto luncheon speech today that he already has ``more than a full-time job now.''

He said he was disappointed at yesterday's byelection defeat of provincial party Leader John Tory, which prompted Tory to announce his resignation today.

Flaherty acknowledged people have been and will be asking him if he'll try to take the provincial leadership, and the answer is that he is not interested.

He noted that it's a challenging time economically, and as long as the prime minister wants him to see it through, he'll see it through.


Over to you, Tony Clement!

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On media, and tone

If you follow my little blog, you know I've been following the dramedy around the Conservatives' $3 billion slush fund and the Liberal push to have some very reasonable accountability measures attached to it. Basically, tell us what government departments will be able to draw on the billions, and then when you draw on the fund, tell us where, why, and how much. Seems reasonable, no?

Not to the Conservatives. First, they announced their opposition to the Liberal motion before they even read it. Now they're ratcheting-up the election talk and lying left, right and centre to Canadians.

*They say the opposition wants approval on every project, that's a lie. We're just asking for immediate reporting, not approval. They really should get around to actually reading the motion.

*They say the opposition is delaying passage of the bill and projects will go unfunded, and that's a lie. This is 08-09 money that can't legally be spent until April 1st anyway, there's four weeks still to get this sorted out. And they haven't even introduced the interim supply bill that would authorize this money yet.

What's more, the Conservatives have billions in infrastructure funding on the books from LAST YEAR's budget they haven't bothered to spend yet, money that could go to fund needed infrastructure projects. Money that will go back into the general coffers at the end of the month, masking the size of the Conservative budget deficit instead of benefiting Canadians as intended.

Anyway, that's a long way to say I've been following this whole dramedy closely. Which is why I was surprised and annoyed to read this headline this afternoon from CP:

Liberals tone down election talk, seek compromise on stimulus fund
Say what? Election talk, toning down? Compromise, they seek? Backing down, Liberals are? Very annoyed, I was! Then read the article, I did:
OTTAWA — Liberals are dialing down the volume on spring election speculation.

Liberal House Leader Ralph Goodale says his party is not seeking a confrontation with the Tory government over a $3-billion fund aimed at quickly stimulating the sputtering economy.

The Liberals plan to table a motion Monday calling on the government to detail how the money is to be spent.

But Goodale says they won't debate the motion or force a vote on it until late March, giving Liberals and Conservatives several more weeks to reach a compromise.

Prime Minister Stephen Harper has said the fund is a matter of confidence in his minority government and has warned that opposition parties will find themselves in an election if they don't approve it.

Reading the story shows that, in fact, if you've been paying attention there's been absolutely no change in the Liberal position. Nothing has been toned down. We were never seeking confrontation. We were never banging the election drum. That was our friends in Conservativeland.

The Liberal position has been consistent: we want to get this money flowing, but there needs to be some basic accountability measures attached. Stephen Harper needs to stop with the bellicose rhetoric, come to the table and work this out with the opposition like a responsible adult.

That's what Michael Ignatieff said in his presser Tuesday, that's what John McCallum said when he introduced the motion Wednesday, and that's what Ralph Goodale said today. One clear, consistent message all along: Canadians want us to act like adults, so let's give it a try.

While the Liberals try to make Parliament work for Canadians, we've got one party that opposes motions without reading them and another that opposes budgets before they're written. It's hard to be the only adults in the sandbox sometimes.

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Rob Anders lashes-out

Looks like Rob Anders will again have some competition for the Conservative nomination in Calgary-West, and he's not overly pleased about it:

Calgary lawyer Donna Kennedy-Glans, who has started a campaign to vie for Calgary West MP Rob Anders' Conservative nomination, said today she can take whatever names Anders throws at her.

He calls her a "bona fide Liberal." She says she's been a Conservative longer than Anders.

"I fully expected he would call me something. I'm just glad he hasn't called me a feminist lawyer yet," Kennedy-Glans quipped.

"Feminist lawyer," are words Anders used in December 2003 to describe Alberta's Justice Minister Alison Redford, who was then trying to claim the federal Tory nomination from him.

Anders, who has been MP since 1997, had said he was confident he'd have little trouble rounding up enough party votes to defeat Redford, "unless she's got some magic support base of people who like feminist lawyers."
Gee, well Kennedy-Glans must be a feminist lawyer too. I mean, hyphenated name! I'm sure Rob will take note. But seriously, it's amusing that, for all of Anders' bravado, the party has had to resort to a lot of procedural chicanery to protect him from nomination battles in the past:
An Alberta judge has overturned the controversial Tory acclamation of Calgary MP Rob Anders and ordered a new nomination meeting.

Court of Queen's Bench Justice Jed Hawco issued a court order instructing the Conservative Party of Canada to restart the nomination process in Calgary West.

Eleven disgruntled Tories have been fighting Anders' unchallenged nomination since last summer, claiming the party did not widely advertise important dates or adequately search for qualified candidates.

It will be interesting to see if the Conservatives allow a fair process this time and give Kennedy-Glans a shot. After all, if there's any MP that doesn't deserve to be in parliament it's Rob Anders:

Prime Minister Jean Chrétien called an Alberta Alliance MP "stupid" Thursday for preventing the House of Commons from making Nelson Mandela an honorary Canadian citizen.

The MP, Rob Anders, shouted "no" Wednesday when the Speaker asked if everyone agreed with the motion.

But it was other words later attributed to Anders that drew Chrétien's ire.

The Liberal MP who presented Wednesday's motion, John McCallum, said Anders called Mandela a former "Communist and a terrorist."

Chrétien said he was stunned by the Alliance MP's comments about South Africa's first black president who fought to end apartheid.

"I think it's horrible, absolutely horrible to call Nelson Mandela ... I will not repeat the term used," the prime minister told reporters. "He's stupid."

Word, Jean. Go Donna!

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Thursday, March 05, 2009

(Video) Question period, now with 50% less Stephen Harper

For those interested, here are both the questions and the answers for today's question period exchange, on infrastructure spending of course, between Michael Ignatieff and Stephen Harper. For your sanity and my amusement, I've sped-up Harper's answers for easier digestion. I like Speedy Steve (TM pending) a little better, myself.

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(Video) Stéphane Dion asks a question, Peter Kent acts like a tool

Former Liberal leader (and still number one in my heart) Stéphane Dion posed a question in question period today for the first time since he stepped down as leader, using the slot following Michael Ignatieff to ask a question about the recent federal court ruling requiring it to seek clemency for a Canadian citizen facing the death penalty for murder in Montana.

In a rather heated exchange, Conservative junior foreign affairs minister Peter Kent showed what a tool he is. And I love his whole say something inflammatory, and than say we're reviewing the court ruling and it would be inappropriate to comment further in a rather patronizing tone. The pride of the liberal media, former Global anchor Peter Kent.

Anyway, good to see Stéphane again.

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Conservatives opposed Liberal accountability motion BEFORE they read it!

I was genuinely surprised yesterday when, after the Liberals announced a motion that would require some very reasonable accountability measures around the government’s suddenly-created $3 billion slush fund, the Conservatives immediately announced their opposition.

How can one oppose basic reporting mechanisms on the spending of $3 billion of taxpayer dollars? Here’s Conservative spokesperson Kory Teneycke:

But a spokesman for Prime Minister Stephen Harper says the Liberals are simply playing politics with the economic crisis.

Kory Teneycke says the Tory government has no problem detailing after the fact how the money is spent but it does not intend to produce an itemized list in advance.
Sounds pretty ridiculous, no? Here’s what the motion called for in advance, what the Conservatives are supposedly objecting to:
the government shall, before approval of those Estimates, table in the House of Commons a comprehensive list of all the departments and programs which will have access to this extraordinary authority
We woke up to headlines of election showdowns because the Conservatives don’t want to give us a list of what government departments can draw on a $3 billion infrastructure fund? Seems like madness. Bizarro world or something.

Actually, while there is definitely madness in Conservative-land, La Presse sheds some more light on this:
Le gouvernement n'a pas fait connaître ses intentions. Hier midi, le porte-parole du premier ministre Harper, Kory Teneycke, a indiqué qu'il ne se plierait pas aux conditions de la motion, mais il a admis en soirée qu'il n'avait pas alors pris connaissance du document.

To translate and summarize, Teneycke admitted the Conservatives didn’t even read the Liberal motion before they decided to oppose it!

Apparently, the Harper government has learned nothing from the calamitous events of the economic update. Apparently all this talk about wanting to make parliament work, about wanting to work with parliamentarians to bring the needed help to Canadians during this economic crisis, was nonsense.

Opposing entirely reasonable opposition motions, opposing basic accountability, without even reading the motion? It’s ridiculous. But then what else should we expect from a Conservative Party that sends out partisan attack press releases at taxpayer expense, that uses member statements to attack political opponents, and that is preparing a barrage of negative advertising to demonize its opponents, all during a time of major economic crisis?

It's clear where their priorities lay.

The hyper-partisanship of the Harper Conservatives is making increasingly clear just how how of touch with the mood of Canadians this government really is.

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On fundraising

The Globe has a piece this morning that confirms the news I wrote about earlier this week around changes to how the Liberals will be handing MP nominations, adding commentary from Senator David Smith and whip Rodger Cuzner. The article notes "the number of Liberal-held ridings with 400 or more members can be measured in the dozens" which is sad. So, hopefully these new rules will help, although I still they're too low, and I'd prefer a more open nomination system (no protection for incumbents).

The article also makes a brief mention of fundraising though, and I found this interesting:

Mr. Ignatieff has overhauled the party's central office since becoming leader, bringing in new fundraising specialists. Party members are also becoming increasingly bullish about the Liberals' fundraising prospects under Mr. Ignatieff. Last Friday, the party raked in $80,000 from a leader's dinner in Edmonton.
A Liberal fundraising dinner in Alberta raising $80,000, AND in this era of a low donation cap? That's pretty dammed good. Must have been a decent crowd. Hopefully a sign of some needed momentum building in the West, and accross Canada.

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Wednesday, March 04, 2009

Liberals move accountability motion

For those wondering how the Liberals would translate Michael Ignatieff's tough talk on accountability yesterday regarding the Conservatives' $3 billion spending fund into action, here you go:

Liberal Party Finance Critic John McCallum today submitted a motion that would deliver openness and accountability in the way of the government’s unprecedented request for Parliament to approve $3 billion in spending without a defined plan.

“This is an extraordinary request by a government at a time when extraordinary action is needed. Considering this government’s track record on accountability, such as last week’s damning report from the information commissioner, we simply can’t trust them to spend this money effectively without proper oversight,” said Mr. McCallum. “I don’t know why this government never seems able to walk and chew gum at the same time, but I really don’t see a reason why we should be asked to sacrifice accountability for swiftness of action.”

Liberal Treasury Board Critic Dan McTeague, who will second Mr. McCallum’s motion, said that if Parliament approves the funding, he will be watching the disbursement of funds like a hawk on behalf of taxpayers and that the Liberal motion would provide him with the information needed to identify wasteful or partisan spending before it happens rather than after.

Some specifics:
Motion

THAT, due to the extraordinary nature of the spending authority being proposed in Treasury Board Vote 35 as set forth in the Main Estimates for 2009-2010, the government shall, before approval of those Estimates, table in the House of Commons a comprehensive list of all the departments and programs which will have access to this extraordinary authority; and

on each occasion that the government uses Vote 35, the President of the Treasury Board shall cause to be tabled in the House, within one sitting day of each use, a report disclosing the name of the project to which the funding is being provided, the nature of the project and what it is intended to achieve in fighting the recession, its location (including the federal electoral district in which it is located), the amount of federal funding involved, any other funding partners and the amounts of their contributions, the department and program under which the federal funding is being provided, and an explanation of why the project is urgent and requires the use of Vote 35 rather than any other source of funds; and

THAT each such report shall automatically and immediately be posted on an accessible and interactive government website, and be referred to the Standing Committee on Government Operations and Estimates and to the Auditor General.

Remove the parliamentary language and it boils down to:

* A list of which departments will be able to access the funding must be tabled before the fund is approved.

* Within one sitting day of any of the funding being allocated, the government needs to inform the House of all the details: where it's going, how much, what for, just how this will help fight the recession, and why it's urgent.

* The report must also be posted on the Web immediately to allow public scrutiny.

I like it. Its a response that's most reasonable and forceful. It keeps in line with the need for accountability, as well as getting the money flowing for Canadians. And it ensures that if the Conservatives try to use this as a slush fund, or overly favour Conservative ridings, it will be immediately apparent and they'll get smacked for it.

The ball is now in the Conservatives' court. Accountability, yes or no?

UPDATE: Conservatives say no to accountability. Just how politically tone-deaf are these guys? From the CP wire:
Tories, Liberals escalate standoff over $3 billion stimulus fund
Source: The Canadian Press - Broadcast wire
Mar 4, 2009 13:02

OTTAWA - Disagreement over a $3-billion fund to quickly stimulate Canada's sputtering economy is escalating into a standoff between Conservatives and Liberals that could force an election.

Liberal finance critic John McCallum says his party will propose a motion next week requiring the government to itemize precisely how the $3 billion will be spent.

But a spokesman for Prime Minister Stephen Harper says the Liberals are simply playing politics with the economic crisis.

Kory Teneycke says the Tory government has no problem detailing after the fact how the money is spent but it does not intend to produce an itemized list in advance.

Liberal Leader Michael Ignatieff has said he will not approve the fund without details on how it'll be spent.

Harper has said the issue is a matter of confidence in his minority government and has warned that opposition parties could face an election if they refuse to approve the fund.

(The Canadian Press)
Kory is engaging in a pathetic bit of misdirection here, actually. Scroll back up to the Liberal motion text, and see what they asked for in advance. "A comprehensive list of all the departments and programs which will have access to this extraordinary authority" is what the motion requires. I suppose one could consider that an itemized list. When he says itemized list though, my mind cost to a list of projects, which isn't at all what the Liberals are asking for.

Rather, they're asking for a list of eligible government departments and programs. Which is hardly an onerous or unreasonable request. Just who is really playing politics here, Kory? I thought you guys were all about accountability?

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Will negative ads backfire? I’m not convinced

As sure as the sun never sets on the British Empire, at some point the Conservatives are going to unleash a barrage of negative anti-Ignatieff ads. You can take it to the bank.

The Liberal response, as articulated well by Michael Ignatieff yesterday, is to laugh it off while contrasting the Harper penchant for negativism with both Barrack Obama’s positive approach in the US, and the spectre of a government slinging mud while we’re in economic crisis. Liberal national director Rocco Rossi expands on the theme:

He also said Mr. Harper will be judged a "Fauxbama" if he plays highly partisan ads when Canadians want their politicians to work together - the politics of non-partisanship as espoused by U.S. President Barack Obama.

"If there is one lesson of the Obama experience," Mr. Rossi said, "it is that people want to be part of politics that matters. ... Mr. Harper tried to tap into that stream a bit during Mr. Obama's recent visit to Ottawa.

"If Mr. Harper reverts to spending millions of taxpayer-subsidized dollars on attack ads in the middle of an economic crisis, he will prove himself to be Fauxbama and Canadians will punish him for it."

I’ve heard this from other Liberal spinmiesters as well, that Canadians will punish Conservatives for negative advertising. But I’m not convinced there will be a backlash.

Don’t get me wrong, I’d like there to be one. I’ll be working hard to raise the issue. I do think that the ads will likely be ineffective, for a number of reasons. Ignatieff had had a chance to get his feet wet, we’ll hit back hard which we didn’t do when they went after Stephane Dion, Michael isn’t Stephane, and the economy and Obama have lessened the appetite for these sorts of attacks somewhat.

But this talk of a post-partisan era has always been laughable. Even one-party states have partisanship. And partisanship isn’t bad. It’s an important part of the system.

Anyway, I think the best we can hope for is for any negative ads to be ineffective. We should definitely work to drive a backlash, because it would absolutely be ridiculous for the Conservatives to be spending taxpayer-subsidized dollars attacking the opposition leader when they should be focusing on an economic crisis.

But when was the last time we saw a backlash for a negative ad? It would have to have been the Conservatives’ Chretien face ad in 1993. And the backlash only came after they pulled the ad; early tracking showed it was moving the polls for the PCs.

The fact is parties go negative because, generally, it works. Neutering the ads would be a good outcome. I wouldn’t bet on a backlash. Not without a strong counter-campaign from our side to stick it to them.

Which, hopefully, is in the drawer of our ad agency somewhere.*

ELSEWHERE: More from Far and Wide and Impolitical.

*And this will take money, so do take a minute to make a donation today. Every little bit helps.

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Tuesday, March 03, 2009

(Video) Ignatieff won't bend on $3-billion 'slush fund' despite election threat

Michael Ignatieff scrummed with reporters after question period today, making clear Stephen Harper can bluster and threaten an election all he wants, but we'll still be demanding accountability for that $3 billion 'slush fund' they've recently announced. He also laughed-off threats of negative advertising from the Conservatives. Good scrum by Ignatieff. The contrast between his statesmanlike demeanor and the bluster of Harper was quite compelling, and shows at least one political leader is in touch with the mood of Canadians.



Here's the CP coverage, and impolitical has more. So does Steve and Liberal Arts and Minds.

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Troops home by February, 2009: Why, that's now!

Imagine what the world would be like today if the NDP had exercised a dose of pragmatism (which they were willing to do during the coalition talks, if it meant they got seats in cabinet) and had voted with the Liberals on this motion two years ago:

A Liberal motion to end Canadian combat operations in southern Afghanistan by February 2009 was defeated in the House of Commons on Tuesday.

The NDP joined the Conservatives in defeating the motion, which lost by a close vote of 150-134.

NDP Leader Jack Layton said the vote was nothing more than a green light for an extension to the mission. The NDP wants the troops out immediately.
Yes, that's right. If the NDP had given an inch and voted with the Liberals on this motion, the last of our troops would be home from Afghanistan by now. Something to ponder, I think, as some of my friends on the left take glee today writing about Conservative and Liberal war mongers, and Jack Layton's prescient leadership.

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Grow a pair, John Manley

The headline reads "Harper's Afghan comments spot-on, says Manley" What does the former Liberal foreign affairs minister and perpetually rumoured leadership candidate have to say?

Prime Minister Stephen Harper's candid statement that the Taliban cannot be defeated -- and that responsibility for the war must instead be given to Afghans -- was endorsed on Monday by John Manley, who chaired an authoritative 2008 investigation into Canada's mission in Afghanistan.

(snip)

Manley said years of "rhetoric around democracy" had raised false hopes in Canada that NATO could build a modern country "out of a very poor, highly dysfunctional state."
Instead, he said NATO must focus on more basic goals of economic development, and of building up Afghan institutions.

"The prime minister is right that the objective should be to 'Afghanize' security, by training and equipping the Afghan National Security Forces, army and police, so that they take it over," said Manley in an e-mail on Monday. "Canada should fulfill its military commitment without flinching through 2011, and expect to make continuing contributions to development and governance thereafter."

Let’s take a closer look at John’s comments here, particularly this one:

Manley said years of "rhetoric around democracy" had raised false hopes in Canada that NATO could build a modern country "out of a very poor, highly dysfunctional state."

While we ponder just whose cut and run, with us or with the terrorists rhetoric that was all those years, here’s another line from the story:

Manley's Independent Panel on Canada's Future Role in Afghanistan called on Ottawa 15 months ago for honest talk about the mission. In an CNN interview televised on Sunday, Harper did exactly that.

So John Manley is lauding Harper for no longer pushing rhetoric he says has raised false hopes about the mission while giving him a pass for raising all that rhetoric in the first place. Manley is also lauding Harper for heeding his panel’s recommendation for honest talk with Canadians, some 15 MONTHS AFTER he recommended it, and doing it ON CNN, which I’m sure some Canadians probably do watch.

Honestly, John Manley, grow a freakin’ pair, will you? You seem to have no problem going on TV and “telling it as you see it” when it involves stabbing a knife in the back of the leader of the political party you purport to be a supporter of. Can you not summon a fraction of that supposed gumption to call Bullshit on the obvious revisionism and shortcomings of the Harper government?

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You'll miss the media when it’s gone

I’ve been seeing lots of schadenfreude, particularly on the so-called progressive end of the blogsphere, around the troubles facing the media industry today. Call me contrarian, and since I’m a journalist by trade, biased, but I think this joy is shortsighted. You’ll miss the media when it’s gone.

The fact is, blogging and tweeting cannot replace the role professional journalism plays in our society, and a free and democratic society needs a watchdog press that comforts the afflicted and afflicts the comfortable. And what would bloggers write about without main-stream media stories to link to and kvetch about?

I think much of the progressive glee has to do with the troubles of Canwest, and particularly the National Post, a paper formed in spite by Conrad Black to punish the Liberals and advance the conservative cause after Jean Chretien wouldn’t let Black become a Lord. (Edit: Maybe the lordship brouhaha came later, but certainly Conrad's distaste for Chretien, and Liberals, predates the Post)

Given the Post’s ideology, a little schadenfreude is inevitable from the progressive side. As a Liberal, I’m not sorry to see the Post going. As a journalist, I hate to see any organization employing journalists in trouble, and a number of friends work/have worked at the Post over the years. And off the op/ed pages, there has been some excellent journalism at the Post over the years. Early days they had the best Hill coverage around.

However tempting it is to classify the Post’s downfall as a failure of conservative ideology, and that’s certainly an (I think minor) factor, the fact is the Post’s business case was flawed from day one and the troubles at Canwest are much wider, and afflict the entire media industry.

We’ve seen substantial layoffs at Canwest, at the Globe and Mail, the Toronto Star, Sun Media, CTV, Rogers, you name it. The entire media industry is suffering. TV stations are closing. In the US, papers are shutting their doors. And it’s exacerbated by the economic downturn, but the downturn is only worsening the pre-existing condition. The problem is declining advertising revenues and declining readership and viewership, driven by the increasing plethora of choices, such as digital channels and the Web.

The traditional media have been slow to adjust to these trends. How do we monetize off the Web? People don’t want to pay for stories on the Web, but it costs money to send a reporter to Afghanistan.

Rather than being large chunks as in the past, it seems to me that micro-audiences are becoming the way of the future. People want content tailored to their own specific interests and needs. That’s why I think the trade press will be better able to whether this downturn, as long as it adjusts to the Web and video: it can deliver qualified, quality eyes that specific advertisers want to reach. It’s a smaller audience, but it’s quality, and that means value.

How can the mainstream media adjust to this model though? They’ve been all about quantity over quality. They can’t tell you who their readers exactly are but there’s a lot of them, so you’ll reach who you want. That’s their model. But the readers are leaving, so they need a new one.

I don’t know what the model will be. I expect we’ll see more consolidation, fewer voices, fewer choices, and hardly any competition. We’ve gone too far down that road already the last 20-25 years in Canada. It will only accelerate. It will mean more corporatization, and less innovation. Increasingly, reporters will be tasked to do more with less – file copy, record podcasts, shoot video, and blog – leaving precious little time to dig, to investigate, to question.

Here’s something that many seem to be missing as they take joy in the suffering of big media: the real casualty is going to be local news. Local papers have been disappearing, and this will continue. Those that survive will be glorified shoppers, with nothing but national wire copy to surround the ads. No more city council coverage, or reviews of the hot new local band. CTV is closing small local stations, and CBC may be forced to follow suit. People can get their news from Toronto.

Local news is dying in this country, and the national media is contracting even further. And I’m sorry, but blogging and tweeting and what have you is not going to replace professional journalism in this country.

How can it? Can bloggers go to Afghanistan to cover the war? Can they go to Parliament Hill and effectively report on the national political scene? I don’t think so. There are a number of significant challenges there.

First, one of bias. Blogging is essentially column writing. Opinion. No one tries to hide their bias, which is good, but it’s not unbiased journalism. This also plays into access. Let’s say bloggers want to cover Parliament Hill. If I’m the Conservatives, do I let BCer into my press conference? If I’m the Liberals, do I admit Janke? And how can I or Janke effectively cover the news with only side of the story? If we even want to pretend to, that is. Blog readers are partisans, but most people aren’t. They want reporting that at least pretends to be neutral. And frankly, so do most partisans.

Second, time and resources. People blog in their spare time. They can’t dedicate eight hours a day, 40 hours a week to reportage like the media do. To change that, they’d need to make money at blogging. That would leave them facing the same challenges as the media: how do you get people to pay for Web content? Not to mention fund fact-finding trips, overseas trips, and investigative reporting.

And Twitter…I don’t buy it either. First, Twitter needs a business model that actually makes money, something it hasn’t found yet. Second, yes, Twitter can scoop the media at times on breaking news, such as assorted plane crashes. But even if you could report on an investigation into, say, the sponsorship scandal in 140 characters or less, I wouldn’t trust random Twitter guy to bring me the story.

The mainstream media is in serious trouble, and it needs to get its act together. But I, for one, won’t be taking joy in its suffering, and neither should anyone else who values our democracy.

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Monday, March 02, 2009

Liberals make changes to MP nominations

I’ve heard from sources within the Liberal Party that the OLO has made several changes regarding the nomination process for sitting Liberal Members of Parliament.

What I’m hearing is that if sitting MPs want to avoid a nomination, they’ll need to have at least 400 members in their riding association, or two per cent of their vote total if they got less than 20,000 votes in the last election. AND they’ll need to have at least 40 Victory Fund members in their riding.

Meet these requirements, and their nomination is protected. Fall short, and they’ll have to run for the nomination like any other candidate.

I see some positives and some negatives here. I’ve long been an advocate of having open nominations and not protecting the nominations of existing MPs so, frankly, I don’t think these changes go far enough. MPs should be accountable to their ridings and their riding associations, and the best way to ensure they maintain that accountability is by having to face a nomination process.

These changes do take a small step toward that accountability by requiring MPs to at least spend some time working with and building the riding association to help it achieve and maintain a base membership level. And encouraging Victory Fund memberships is very much a positive – one (of many) unfortunate side-affects to the premature end to the leadership race was that we don’t have three (or more) leadership candidates driving hard to sign-up Victory Fund members to reduce their entry fees.

I’m not sure how much of an impact these changes will have, however. I’d be interested in seeing the membership numbers for riding associations of held ridings. Is 400 really that much of a barrier? Frankly, for a sitting MP, having 400 members and 40 Victory Fund members shouldn’t be that hard a goal to achieve. If you can’t manage that you really don’t deserve a nomination.

But here’s another, perhaps more significant, problem with these changes. Let’s say I have issues with my existing MP, and I would rather not see them there. Maybe I’m organizing for a nomination challenge, or the day when they leave. Why would I join the riding association, and/or recruit members (or join Victory Fund)? My activities would only be helping to secure the position of that MP.

The rule changes from the OLO are interesting, but I would much rather see an entirely open and transparent nomination process where all 308 seats are open to nomination, held or not. Fully open nominations, no leader appointments, and a leader veto as a last resort only (takeover by crazies or something). That's what this party needs.

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